How protective is cervical cancer screening against cervical cancer mortality in developing countries? The Colombian case

Cervical screening is considered a highly effective intervention that has led to a 70% reduction in mortality by cervical cancer in developed countries [1]. By contrast, Latin America and the Caribbean have failed to impact cervical cancer mortality rates in spite of the implementation of universal screening [2]. Incidence rates of cervical cancer in Latin America and the Caribbean (age adjusted rate = 29.2 per 10⁵) are higher than in any other region in the world except Africa [3].

Colombia has a cervical cancer screening program since 1975 but it has been unsuccessful in significantly reducing cervical cancer incidence or mortality [4]. One of the potential causes for this failure is the introduction of managed health care system in 1993. The Colombian health system is supposed to provide universal health insurance coverage within two regimes: 1) The Contributory Regime, mainly administered by private companies, that covers formally employed and independent workers who contribute to the scheme. Contributions are collected by the insurer of choice. 2) The Subsidized Regime, administered by public institutions or private companies, covers the poor and indigent individuals who cannot afford to make any insurance contribution. Both regimes have a basic benefits package, but the mandatory health care plan (POS, sp. Plan Obligatorio de Salud) for the contributory regime includes every level of care while the mandatory health care plan for the subsidized (POSS, sp. Plan Obligatorio de Salud Subsidiado) is complemented with services provided by public hospitals and financed through traditional supply-side subsidies [5]. In this system, there is considerable fragmentation of activities between private and public actors with a weak role of supervision and regulation by the Ministry of Health. In addition, it provides little room for centralized activities and the cervical cancer screening program has been unable to adapt to this changing reality[6].

There are, at least, two critical components of a cervical screening program, coverage and follow up activities. Several reports have described that ensuring an adequate follow up of women with Pap smears abnormalities is very important to decrease the incidence of cervical cancer and deaths due to it [7]. Yabroff et al (2003) identified barriers of access to follow up after abnormal screening results arising from health providers, patients and from the health system itself[8]. The likelihood of detecting cervical cancer in advanced stages or even dying due to it is increased by those barriers.

Screening coverage is commonly used as the only indicator to evaluate the success of cervical cancer screening programs. However, screening is just a part of them, therefore screening programs must be evaluated for the full range of services needed to prevent cervical cancer and reduce cervical cancer mortality. In the present study, a range of data sources related to quality of the cervical cancer screening program in Colombia were analyzed to provide evidence for our argument.

Colombia is a middle income South American country with 46 million inhabitants. It is divided in 32 departments plus the capital district, Bogotá.

Most women collected the results of cervical screening and looked for medical advice when cervical abnormalities were reported. The largest proportion of women who failed to collect the results was in Boyacá (17.4%) which also had the lowest proportion of women looking for medical advice when cervical abnormalities were reported (64%) (Table 1).

This analysis suggests that cervical cancer screening coverage was not protective against cervical cancer mortality in Colombia as it has been shown in several reports [4, 13, 14]. Instead, the proportion of women who complied with follow up after an abnormal cytology was statistically associated to cancer mortality. After adjusting by health insurance coverage, those areas with the highest percent of women who contacted their health care provider after an abnormal result had almost 40% less mortality than the areas with the lowest proportion.

Several alternatives have been proposed to increase the adherence to follow up and treatment of women with an abnormal result in a Pap smear. Yabroff et al (2000) conducted a meta-analysis of different strategies to increase compliance to follow up after an abnormal cervical cancer screening. They found that cognitive interventions, telephone confirmation of appointments, were more effective than sociological or behavioral interventions. Combining behavioral, cognitive and sociological strategies yielded inconsistent results. Individual studies also support the efficacy of cognitive interventions [15]. Engelstead et al tested a combination of outreach community visits with counseling and telephone calls in a group of women in Oakland CA, USA. They found that this strategy increased the adherence to follow up and abnormalities treatment by more than 90%[7]. Marcus et al reported that providing women with transportation incentives and a personalized follow up letter also increase adherence to follow up visits[16].

One potential weakness in this study is the quality of vital statistics since misclassification in death causes may occur. However, more than 90% of deaths by uterine cancer in Colombia were classified as cervical cancer which made that explanation implausible. On the other hand, women answering the survey may have given equivocal answers to questions about use of health service related to cervical cancer screening, this potential source of error, would produce a non-differential misclassification bias resulting in an underestimation of the association between cytology coverage and cervical cancer mortality. Nonetheless, ENDS surveys have been carried out for more than 20 years in Colombia using similar instruments; surveyors are well trained and have experience applying these questions. In addition, Caplan et al 2003 have found that self-reporting of cervical cancer screening test utilization is highly accurate compared with information extracted from medical records (overall agreement > 80%) [17]. Therefore, we believe that self-reporting bias on use of screening services would be unlikely to mask a strong effect of cytology coverage on cervical cancer mortality in our study.

A potential explanation for the lack of relationship between coverage and cervical cancer mortality lies on how the Colombian Health system is structured. People in the contributory regime receive the most complete package of services while those in the subsidized regime are entitled to receive a more limited package of services. Until 2005 colposcopy and cervix biopsy were not provided to subsidized or uninsured people. Yabroff et al (2003) has reported that there are barriers for access to follow up after cervical screening that arise from health providers. Two of the most important are being uninsured or underinsured, and the perception that follow up procedures are too expensive. Specific studies on barriers for access to follow up after cervical screening are needed in Latin America [8]

Recent studies have addressed the deleterious effect of the health care reform in Colombia upon several indicators of health situation. Ruiz et al has described how the Colombian health system has been unable to reduce maternal mortality while Chile, where public hospitals have been strengthened, has lowered mortality rates by more than 70% [18]. However, we were unable to formally test the role of health providers in the magnitude of death rate by cervical cancer since we had no access to information on the health insurance status of individual women. This is another potential shortcoming of our analysis.

The results presented here suggest that cervical cancer screening programs should not be evaluated based on the number of smears taken per year only. Other indicators such as quality of smear samples, proportion of cervical lesions confirmed using biopsy or colposcopy, compliance with follow up, and percent of women effectively treated among those with cervical abnormalities should also be used. Some have proposed HPV detection as a complementary service to improve cervical cancer screening. Gamboa et al [19]. assessed the cost effectiveness of introducing HPV DNA detection tests in Colombia concluding that it would reduce cervical cancer mortality and would be very cost-effective. However, including the test would only complicate further the screening process that already seems to be failing in providing basic services of follow up.

Colombia is currently considering the introduction of HPV vaccination in girls as a measure to improve the prevention and control of cervical cancer. One important barrier for HPV vaccination in middle income countries is the current price of available HPV vaccines. Goldie et al (2007) has shown that for an average Latin American country prices above USD$50 per vaccine dose are hard to be affordable though vaccination would be cost effective [20]. Other aspect to consider is whether a booster of vaccine is needed to meet the goal of cervical cancer reduction. If vaccine boosters are needed then the cost effectiveness ratio of vaccines would become less attractive. Once vaccine prices become more affordable, a combination of universal vaccination and strengthening of the cervical cancer screening program would become the ideal health policy to control cervical cancer.