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Table 1 Possible states of descriptors

From: Exploring the driving forces and scenario analysis for catastrophic and impoverishing health expenditures in Iran

Descriptor

Variants

A. Budget deficit of the health system

A1. Increasing the budget of the health system

A2. The stability of the budget of the health system

A3. Reducing the budget of the health system

B. Economic sanctions against Iran

B1. Lifting Economic Sanctions on Iran

B2. The effect of sanctions decreases

B3. sanctions have more severe consequences.

C. Informal payments or under-the-counter payment

C1. Such payments are impossible (eradicate informal payments).

C2. Medical staff are willing to receive an under-the-counter payment before treatment

C3.Informal payments are deeply ingrained in the health care sector

D. Conflict of interests of Iran’s health system decision-makers

D1. No conflict of interest

D2. Moderate conflict of interest

D3.Severe conflict of interest

E. Increasing consumption of expensive high-tech health care services

E1. Decreasing consumption of expensive high-tech health care services due to decreased access to advanced medical technologies and decrease in willingness to pay

E2. Consistency of consumption due to no change in willingness to pay for advanced technologies without changing access to them

E3. Increasing consumption of expensive high-tech health care services due to increased access to advanced medical technologies and increase in willingness to pay

F. Inflation rate in health sector

F1. The inflation rate of the health system is reduced

F2. The inflation rate of the health system remains constant

F3. The inflation rate in the health sector increases at a rate twice higher as the prevailing inflation rates

G. Induced demand (consumer or supplier)

G1. The decrease in induced demand

G2. The absence of substantial change in induced demand

G3. The increase in consumer surplus due to induced demand

H. Lack of reliable and transparent electronic information systems in the health sector

H1. Developing integrated health information systems in the health sector

H2. Access to integrated and validated information for specific authorities

H3. Lack of access to up-to-date and integrated information systems.

I. Lack of implementation of family physician plan (FPP)and referral system in the whole country

I1. Complete and successful implementation and performance of FPP and referral system in Iran

I2. Step-by-step implementation of the FPP and referral system in provinces

I3. The FPP and referral system are not implemented in Iran.

J. The increase in the price of medicines and medical devices due to the increase in the exchange rate and the elimination of the preferential currency subsidy

J1. Not to eliminate preferential currency subsidies and expensive drugs were included in the basic health insurance benefit packages.

J2. A step-by-step approach to eliminating preferential currency subsidies and the price of medicines and medical devices is gradually increasing.

J3. Eliminate preferential currency subsidies and Sudden increase in medicines and medical devices prices.