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Table 3 Calibration and validation targets for fatal opioid overdose rates in the US from 2015–2020.*

From: A multimorbidity model for estimating health outcomes from the syndemic of injection drug use and associated infections in the United States

Year

Number of opioid deaths [18]

Estimated number of people who misuse opioids [24]

Fatal opioid overdose rate (99% CI)

2015

33,091

22,811,881

0.1451%

(0.1383-0.1525%)

2016

42,249

21,582,291

0.1958%

(0.1864-0.2061%)

2017

47,600

20,325,520

0.2342%

(0.2220-0.2478%)

2018

46,802

19,081,554

0.2453%

(0.2321-0.2600%)

2019

49,860

18,435,900

0.2705%

(0.2531-0.2904%)

2020

68,630

17,731,936

0.3870%

(0.3486-0.4351%)

  1. * Calibration targets included years 2015–2019. Validation target included year 2020
  2. CI = confidence interval