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Table 4 Shortfall in ICU beds, X(s) for each scenario: The shortfall in ICU beds is the direct output from the transmission model after each of the scenarios is run. Each scenario is a unique combination of the outbreak parameters: transmissiblity (\(R_0\)), case severity (CS) and child infectiousness (CI)

From: Value of information analysis for pandemic response: intensive care unit preparedness at the onset of COVID-19

 

Parameter States

Shortfall in ICU bed

Scenario ID

\(R_0\)

Case Severity (CS)

ChildInf (CI)

X(s)

1

Low

Low

Low

0

2

Low

Low

Medium

0

3

Low

Low

High

0

4

Low

Medium

Low

0

5

Low

Medium

Medium

0

6

Low

Medium

High

0

7

Low

High

Low

0

8

Low

High

Medium

0

9

Low

High

High

345

10

Medium

Low

Low

0

11

Medium

Low

Medium

0

12

Medium

Low

High

0

13

Medium

Medium

Low

0

14

Medium

Medium

Medium

29

15

Medium

Medium

High

74

16

Medium

High

Low

552

17

Medium

High

Medium

1075

18

Medium

High

High

1406

19

High

Low

Low

0

20

High

Low

Medium

0

21

High

Low

High

0

22

High

Medium

Low

46

23

High

Medium

Medium

102

24

High

Medium

High

157

25

High

High

Low

1389

26

High

High

Medium

1584

27

High

High

High

1485