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Table 3 Modeling results on the effects of the Pay for Performance (P4P) intervention – Services provided per 100,000 population

From: The effectiveness of pay-for-performance contracts with non-governmental organizations in Afghanistan – results of a controlled interrupted time series analysis

Outcome indicator

(1)

Analysis of the intervention arm only

Analysis of the intervention and comparison arms

R2 for intervention arm

(6)

R2 for comparison arm

(7)

Level effect

(95% CI)

(2)

Slope effect (95% CI)

(3)

Combined effect

(95% CI)

(4)

Combined effect

(95% CI)

(5)

Couple Years of Protection

119.6 (88.9 to 150.3)

3.3 (−1.5 to 8.1)

56.1% points (41.4 to 70.9)

43.8% points (22.3 to 65.4)

0.953

0.371

Cesarean Section

0.4 (−1.9 to 2.6)

0.9 (0.6 to 1.3)

30.0% points (14.5 to 44.6)

27.0% points (0.0 to 594.8)

0.969

0.823

Antenatal Care total visits

409.6 (225.5 to 593.6)

37.7 (8.9 to 66.5)

30.0% points (20.3 to 40.0)

28.9% points (14.7 to 43.2)

0.905

0.506

Postnatal Care

222.1 (144.9 to 299.3)

18.0 (5.9 to 30.0)

26.9% points (20.0 to 33.7)

26.5% points (15.8 to 37.2)

0.957

0.789

Institutional deliveries

60.6 (30.9 to 90.2)

8.7 (4.0 to 13.3)

20.2%-points (14.4 to 26.0)

12.1%-points (0.9 to 23.2)

0.965

0.777

Tetanus Toxoid 2+ doses

263.3 (−10.1 to 536.6)

57.0 (14.3 to 99.7)

19.6% points (9.7 to 29.5)

14.1% points (−5.4 to 33.6)

0.659

0.04

TB Treated Cases

2.0 (0.5 to 3.5)

−0.2(−0.4 to 0.1)

10.7% points (0.0 to 21.9)

11.1% points (−17.3 to 39.6)

0.795

0.550

Under 5 Outpatient visits

1026.8 (−40.7 to 2094.3)

25.8 (− 141.0 to 192.6)

10.3% points (1.4 to 19.2)

21.4% points (6.3 to 36.5)

0.787

0.303

Pentavalent 3 immunization

5.6 (−55.7 to 67.1)

11.7 (2.1 to 21.3)

6.2% points (0.4 to 12.1)

10.2% points (1.2 to 19.3)

0.377

0.559

Major surgery

−4.8 (−12.9 to 3.4)

0.1 (−1.3 to 1.3)

−8.3% points (−20.0 to 3.4)

22.8% points (2.3 to 43.3)

0.768

0.574

Non-Compensated Services

 Measles vaccination for. Children < 12 months

−87.0 (− 178.9to 4.9)

12.9 (−1.5 to 27.2)

−3.3% points (− 12.1 to 5.5)

0.0% points (− 12.6 to 13.6)

0.442

0.288

 New patients/clients

− 456.0 (− 3129.2 to 2217.1)

− 642.5 (− 1060.3 to − 224.7)

−9.2% points (− 15.2 to − 3.2)

− 0.2% points (− 13.9 to 13.5)

0.440

0.114

 Minor surgeries

− 73.1 (− 118.3 to − 27.9)

− 12.5 (− 19.6 to − 5.4)

− 51.1% points (− 62.2 to − 39.9)

−74.8% points (− 126.5 to − 23.1)

0.714

0.810

 IPD – admissions

−24.5 (− 97.3 to 48.3)

2.3 (−9.1 to 13.6)

−2.5% points (− 13.2 to 8.3)

3.3% points (− 13.0 to 19.6)

0.512

0.162