Factors | Model 1 | Model 2 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Odds Ratio | p-value | Average Predicted Probability | Odds Ratio | p-value | Average Predicted Probability | |
(95% CI) | (95% CI) | (95% CI) | (95% CI) | |||
Sex | ||||||
 Female | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.32 (0.30–0.33) | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.36 (0.32–0.36) |
 Male | 0.82 (0.73–0.92) | 0.001 | 0.28 (0.26–0.29) | 0.78 (0.69–0.89) | < 0.001 | 0.31 (0.27–0.31) |
Age | ||||||
 7–10 | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.4 (0.36–0.44) | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.45 (0.37–0.45) |
 11–14 | 0.75 (0.62–0.91) | 0.004 | 0.34 (0.31–0.36) | 0.76 (0.62–0.94) | 0.010 | 0.38 (0.32–0.38) |
 15–18 | 0.59 (0.49–0.71) | < 0.001 | 0.29 (0.27–0.31) | am (0.53–0.79) | < 0.001 | 0.33 (0.29–0.33) |
 19–20 | 0.36 (0.29–0.41) | < 0.001 | 0.2 (0.18–0.22) | 0.42 (0.33–0.54) | < 0.001 | 0.26 (0.20–0.26) |
Race/Ethnicity | ||||||
 White | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.28 (0.25–0.30) | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.32 (0.27–0.32) |
 Black /African American | 1.05 (0.89–1.22) | 0.580 | 0.28 (0.26–0.31) | 1.07 (0.91–1.26) | 0.428 | 0.33 (0.28–0.33) |
 Hispanic | 1.25 (1.04–1.51) | 0.015 | 0.32 (0.29–0.35) | 1.32 (1.09–1.60) | 0.005 | 0.38 (0.32–0.38) |
 Other | 1.1 (0.77–1.55) | 0.611 | 0.29 (0.23–0.36) | 1.14 (0.79–1.65) | 0.481 | 0.39 (0.24–0.39) |
 Not Provided | 1.22 (0.96–1.55) | 0.101 | 0.32 (0.28–0.35) | 1.26 (0.98–1.61) | 0.072 | 0.38 (0.30–0.38) |
Language | ||||||
 English | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.29 (0.28–0.30) | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.33 (0.29–0.33) |
 Not English | 1.38 (1.13–1.68) | 0.002 | 0.36 (0.31–0.40) | 1.4 (1.14–1.73) | 0.001 | 0.43 (0.34–0.43) |
Education Levels in County | ||||||
 15% + of adults have HS degree | 1.00 (Ref) |  | 0.31 (0.29–0.33) | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.35 (0.31–0.35) |
  < 15% of adults have HS degree | 0.8 (0.68–0.93) | 0.004 | 0.27 (0.24–0.29) | 0.79 (0.67–0.93) | 0.005 | 0.31 (0.26–0.31) |
Medicaid Eligibility Group | ||||||
 SSI | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.29 (0.26–0.32) | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.32 (0.26–0.32) |
 TANF | 1.05 (0.87–1.28) | 0.604 | 0.3 (0.28–0.32) | 1.2 (0.97–1.47) | 0.089 | 0.35 (0.31–0.35) |
 Other (Prim Child Welf) | 1.05 (0.73–1.52) | 0.773 | 0.3 (0.23–0.37) | 1.14 (0.78–1.65) | 0.497 | 0.39 (0.25–0.39) |
NCHS Urban-Rural Category | ||||||
 Large Central Metro (Most Urban) | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.29 (0.27–0.31) | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.33 (0.29–0.33) |
 Large Fringe Metro | 1.16 (0.99–1.35) | 0.064 | 0.32 (0.29–0.34) | 1.17 (1.00–1.38) | 0.050 | 0.37 (0.31–0.37) |
 Medium Metro | 0.97 (0.81–1.17) | 0.773 | 0.28 (0.25–0.31) | 0.97 (0.80–1.18) | 0.780 | 0.33 (0.27–0.33) |
 Small Metro | 1.13 (0.76–1.66) | 0.546 | 0.31 (0.24–0.39) | 1.15 (0.76–1.74) | 0.493 | 0.42 (0.25–0.42) |
 Non- Metro (Most Rural) | 1.52 (0.98–2.36) | 0.060 | 0.37 (0.28–0.47) | 1.52 (0.96–2.41) | 0.077 | 0.5 (0.30–0.50) |
County is PCP HPSA | ||||||
 No | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.3 (0.28–0.31) | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.33 (0.30–0.33) |
 Yes | 0.63 (0.35–1.12) | 0.112 | 0.21 (0.12–0.31) | 0.69 (0.39–1. 25) | 0.222 | 0.35 (0.14–0.35) |
County is MH HPSA | ||||||
 No | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.3 (0.28–0.31) | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.33 (0.30–0.33) |
 Yes | 1 (0.77–1.28) | 0.979 | 0.3 (0.25–0.34) | 0.97 (0.75–1.27) | 0.849 | 0.36 (0.26–0.36) |
Did Member Have any Non-Dental Claims? | ||||||
 No | 1.00 (Ref) |  | 0.14 (0.11–0.16) |  |  |  |
 Yes | 3.06 (2.44–3.84) | < 0.001 | 0.32 (0.30–0.33) |  |  |  |
ADHD | ||||||
 No |  |  |  | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.32 (0.28–0.32) |
 Yes |  |  |  | 1.34 (1.15–1.55) | < 0.001 | 0.39 (0.33–0.39) |
Depression | ||||||
 No |  |  |  | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.33 (0.30–0.33) |
 Yes |  |  |  | 1.02 (0.88–1.18) | 0.831 | 0.35 (0.29–0.35) |
Bipolar | ||||||
 No |  |  |  | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.33 |
(0.30–0.33) | ||||||
 Yes |  |  |  | 0.97 (0.82–1.16) | 0.759 | 0.35 |
(0.28–0.35) | ||||||
Schizophrenia | ||||||
 No |  |  |  | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.33 (0.30–0.33) |
 Yes |  |  |  | 0.83 (0.62–1.11) | 0.199 | 0.33 (0.23–0.34) |
PTSD | ||||||
 No |  |  |  | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.33 (0.30–0.33) |
 Yes |  |  |  | 1.31 (0.97–1.75) | 0.075 | 0.44 (0.31–0.44) |
 Anxiety, no PTSD | ||||||
 No |  |  |  | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.33 (0.30–0.33) |
 Yes |  |  |  | 1.15 (0.97–1.37) | 0.111 | 0.38 (0.31–0.38) |
Asthma | ||||||
 No |  |  |  | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.33 (0.30–0.33) |
 Yes |  |  |  | 1.16 (1.01–1.35) | 0.041 | 0.37 (0.31–0.37) |
Diabetes | ||||||
 No |  |  |  | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.33 (0.30–0.33) |
 Yes |  |  |  | 1.12 (0.73–1.73) | 0.598 | 0.43 (0.25–0.43) |
Hypertension | ||||||
 No |  |  |  | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.33 (0.30–0.33) |
 Yes |  |  |  | 1.06 (0.89–1.26) | 0.526 | 0.36 (0.29–0.36) |
Pregnancy | ||||||
 No |  |  |  | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.34 (0.31–0.34) |
 Yes |  |  |  | 0.61 (0.45–0.83) | 0.002 | 0.28 (0.18–0.28) |
Prospective Risk Score | ||||||
 (Continuous) |  |  |  | 1.09 (1.03–1.16) | 0.004 | See Fig. 1 |
Substance Use Disorder | ||||||
 No |  |  |  | 1.00 (Reference) |  | 0.34 (0.31–0.34) |
 Yes |  |  |  | 0.87 (0.72–1.06) | 0.159 | 0.33 (0.26–0.33) |