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Table 3 Predicted counts of institutional deliveries and difference due to the rainy season

From: When it rains, it pours: detecting seasonal patterns in utilization of maternal healthcare in Mozambique using routine data

Yeara

Observed Count

Predicted count using model

n (95% CI)

Predicted count using model if all months were non-rainy

n (95% CI)

Difference due to rainy season

2013

755,837

762,995 (686,978 – 839,013)

779,040 (701,620 – 856,461)

16,045

2014

804,546

806,924 (726,530 – 887,318)

823,892 (742,014 – 905,770)

16,968

2015

793,959

798,851 (715,452 – 882,251)

813,170 (728,260 - 898,080)

14,319

2016

–

902,514 (812,596 – 992,431)

921,492 (829,915 - 1,013,069)

18,979

2017

1,014,220

1,009,141 (908,600 – 1,109,682)

1,030,362 (927,965 - 1,132,758)

21,221

2018

1,091,631

1,067,241 (960,911 – 1,173,570)

1,089,683 (981,391 - 1,197,975)

22,442

2019

–

1,128,686 (1,016,234 – 1,241,137)

1,152,420 (1,037,893 - 1,266,947)

23,734

2020

–

1,193,668 (1,074,742 – 1,312,594)

1,218,769 (1,097,649 - 1,339,890)

25,101

2021

–

1,262,392 (1,136,619 – 1,388,164)

1,288,938 (1,160,844 - 1,417,032)

26,546

  1. aObserved counts not included for years we do not have data for all 12 months