| |
In-hospital mortality
|
30-day mortality
|
---|
|
Validation
|
Recalibration
| |
Validation
|
Recalibration
|
---|
Model
|
N
|
Deaths included
|
AUC (95% CI)
|
H-L p- value
|
AUC (95% CI)
|
H-L p-value
|
Deaths included
|
AUC (95% CI)
|
H-L p-value
|
AUC (95% CI)
|
H-L p-value
|
POSSUM
|
2119
|
27/41
|
74.8 (65.6–84.0)
|
< 0.001
|
a75.6 (66.3–84.9)
|
0.548
|
32/47
|
76.3 (68.2–84.3)
|
< 0.001
|
a77.0 (68.9–85.2)
|
0.250
|
P-POSSUM
|
2119
|
27/41
|
75.7 (66.4–85.0)
|
< 0.001
| |
77.1 (68.9–85.2)
|
< 0.001
|
CR-POSSUM
|
2293
|
38/41
|
73.6 (65.2–82.1)
|
< 0.001
|
75.5 (67.3–83.7)
|
0.261
|
45/47
|
73.2 (65.9–80.6)
|
< 0.001
|
74.2 (67.1–81.2)
|
0.463
|
AFC
|
1465
|
23/41
|
NA
|
NA
|
68.2 (56.6–79.7)
|
0.994
|
26/47
|
NA
|
NA
|
68.6 (58.0–79.1)
|
0.984
|
IRCS
|
2653
|
38/47
|
74.4 (65.8–83.1)
|
< 0.001
|
76.2 (68.0–84.5)
|
0.853
|
44/47
|
72.9 (65.3–80.4)
|
< 0.001
|
74.5 (67.1–81.9)
|
0.904
|
- AUC Area under the curve, H-L Hosmer-Lemeshow, NA Not available, aThe equations for POSSUM and P-POSSUM are the same in the recalibration process