Figure 1

The expectation-uncertainty-diagram of innovations. Positive expectations in an innovation as well as uncertainty of data (as assessed by validity and variance of results) are rated on a scale ranging from zero to 1. Four possible results are shown. Red dot: Too positive expectations but too much uncertainty; this constellation is not considered as innovation. Mixed colour dots: The green/yellow innovation is ranked higher than the red/yellow innovation because less positive expectation combined with less uncertainty is higher ranked than more positive expectation combined with more uncertainty. Green dot: the combination of positive expectation with low uncertainty is considered as innovation. T: threshold.