State | Event | Expected value | SE | Source* |
---|---|---|---|---|
AS | Progression of Gleason Score | 0.0263 | 0.007 | Â |
 | Other Progression (DRE/PSA) | 0.0268 | 0.007 |  |
 | Choosing treatment | 0.018 | 0.005 |  |
 | Developing metastatic prostate cancer under active surveillance | 0.0023 | 0.000425 | Bill-Axelson [7]; own calculation |
 | Infection due to biopsy | 0.02 | 0.0075 | Cambell-Walsh Urology |
 | Develop benign prostate hyperplasia | Age dependent |  | Andersson 2004 [48] |
 | Transurethral resection of the prostate due to benign prostate hyperplasia | 0.000462 | - | Andersson 2004; own calculation |
Treatment | Perioperative death | 0.0044 | 0.00001 | Â |
 | Major complication during surgery | 0.0472 | 0.0168 |  |
 | Urethral stricture | 0.0344 | 0.002 |  |
Post PE | Incontinence and erectile dysfunction short term | 0.37 | 0.0467 | Â |
 | Erectile dysfunction short term | 0.39 | 0.0384 |  |
 | Incontinence short term | 0.09 | 0.0113 |  |
 | Keep incontinence and erectile dysfunction long term | 0.27 | 0.0338 |  |
 | Keep incontinence long term | 0.28 | 0.035 |  |
 | Keep erectile dysfunction long term | 0.89 | 0.0831 |  |
 | Disease recurrence | 0.00875 | 0.0032 |  |
 | Progression from recurrence to metastatic disease | 0.0127 | 0.0047 | Horwitz 2005 [49] |
 | Death due to prostate cancer after development of metastatic state during hormonal therapy | 0.022 | 0.0225 | Alibhai [44] |
Post RT | Incontinence short term | 0.3 | 0.0835 | Â |
 | Bowel problems short term | 0.18 | 0.0506 |  |
 | Bowel problems and incontinence short term | 0.054 | 0.0068 |  |
 | Keep incontinence long term | 0.16 | 0.02 |  |
 | Keep bowel problems long term | 0.152 | 0.019 |  |
 | Erectile dysfunction long term | 0.064 | 0.016 |  |
 | Keep incontinence and bowel problems long term | 0.148 | 0.0148 |  |
IC | Sphincter/sling surgery | 0.05 | 0.0075 | Â |
ED | Prosthesis surgery | 0.02 | 0.0003 | Â |
Death | Death due to other reasons | Age dependent | - | Â |