Table 5 Area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve of the case-mix based logistic regression models to identify patients located above the 99th percentile of health spending
From: Predictive risk modelling in the Spanish population: a cross-sectional study
Demographic variables only | ACG-PM | CRG | DCG-HCC | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Out of the box | AUC | 95% CI | AUC | 95% CI | AUC | 95% CI | AUC | 95% CI |
Variables: | ||||||||
A&S + dx + rx + cost percentiles (age < 65) | 0,852 | (0.847 - 0.857) | ||||||
A&S + dx + rx + cost percentiles (age 65+) | 0,779 | (0.774 - 0.783) | ||||||
A&S + dx | 0,814 | (0.811 - 0.818) | 0,858 | (0.8556 - 0.861) | ||||
A&S + dx + rx + cost | 0,882 | (0.880 - 0.885) | ||||||
Recalibration | ||||||||
Variables: | ||||||||
A&S (Age and sex) | 0,811 | (0.809 - 0.814) | ||||||
A&S + Only Dx | 0,882 | (0.880 - 0.884) | 0,829 | (0.826 - 0.832) | 0,884 | (0.882 - 0.886) | ||
A&S + Only Rx | 0,862 | (0.859 - 0.864) | 0,865 | (0.863 - 0.868) | ||||
A&S + Dx + Rx | 0,889 | (0.887 - 0.891) | 0,892 | (0.890 - 0.894) | ||||
A&S + Dx + Rx + cost percentile | 0,897 | (0.895 - 0.899) | 0,869* | (0.866 - 0.871) | 0,899 | (0.897 - 0.901) | ||
A&S + Dx + Rx + cost percentile + DI | 0,897 | (0.895 - 0.899) | 0,869* | (0.866 - 0.872) | 0,899 | (0.897 - 0.902) | ||