Base model and lag | With anticipatory behaviour and lag | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
all age | all age | |||||||
Variable | Age ≤ 33 | 34 ≤ Age ≥ 39 | Age ≥ 40 | groups | Age ≤ 33 | 34 ≤ Age ≥ 39 | Age ≥ 40 | groups |
EMSNCap effect | -305.83* | -429.52*** | -497.31*** | -307.04*** | -183.17* | -275.63*** | -436.91*** | -195.24*** |
143.84 | 59.82 | 56.09 | 72.58 | 80.23 | 40.70 | 63.83 | 48.20 | |
Lag of D. Variable | 0.88*** | 0.32** | -0.07 | 0.70*** | 0.95*** | 0.56*** | 0.001 | 0.82*** |
0.13 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.06 | |
Season 1 (base) | ||||||||
Season 2 | 335.00** | 132.34** | -21.77 | 123.40** | 230.57*** | 81.25** | -45.02 | 48.77 |
94.08 | 38.29 | 34.23 | 45.64 | 54.22 | 28.25 | 36.58 | 35.29 | |
Season 3 | 345.06** | 158.65*** | -76.69* | 117.40* | 279.29*** | 112.51*** | -95.47** | 66.87 |
96.6512 | 34.5121 | 31.1946 | 47.48 | 62.4833 | 25.8843 | 33.7326 | 38.5072 | |
Season 4 | 62.98 | -18.28 | -236.29*** | -79.41 | -42.13 | -108.45*** | -262.41*** | -159.02*** |
90.82 | 38.17 | 33.58 | 42.29 | 47.57 | 27.11 | 35.10 | 31.69 | |
Time Trend | 26.38* | 35.28*** | 51.50*** | 25.45*** | 14.03 | 20.94** | 45.57*** | 14.29** |
11.98 | 4.10 | 5.70 | 6.30 | 7.77 | 3.61 | 6.59 | 4.32 | |
Constant | -178.31*** | 576.37*** | 963.39*** | 183.49 | -122.03 | 416.99*** | 934.94*** | 168.30* |
126.19 | 107.59 | 95.43 | 110.00 | 103.93 | 71.97 | 100.54 | 75.76 | |
N | 32 | 48 | 32 | 112 | 32 | 48 | 32 | 112 |
df | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
R squared | 0.85 | 0.81 | 0.89 | 0.71 | 0.94 | 0.88 | 0.89 | 0.81 |