Parameter | Start with PD | Start with HD | Distribution | Source |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annual transition probabilities | ||||
Change mode (PD to HD or HD to PD) | 0.039 (0.035, 0.044) | 0.0073 (0.0065, 0.0081) | Beta | Electronic data from 15 hospitals and TRT |
PD to PD with chronic complications | 0.162 (0.148, 0.177) | 0.557 (0.445, 0.698) | Beta | |
HD to HD with chronic complications | 0.301 (0.248, 0.366) | 0.168 (0.162, 0.175) | Beta | |
Acute complications | ||||
- PD | 0.052 (0.050, 0.054) | 0.036 (0.035, 0.036) | Beta | |
- PD with chronic complications | 0.106 (0.103, 0.111) | 0.080 (0.079, 0.082) | Beta | |
- HD | 0.154 (0.146, 0.163) | 0.256 (0.243, 0.270) | Beta | |
- HD with chronic complications | 0.203 (0.164, 0.250) | 0.138 (0.113, 0.168) | Beta | |
- Death rate | Survival regression (Weibull distribution) | |||
Costs | ||||
Direct medical cost | Electronic data from 15 hospitals, TRT, and expert opinion | |||
Set up cost | 208.52 (± 10%) | 357.46 (± 10%) | ||
Annual cost | ||||
- No chronic complications | 7,955.20 (7,031.28, 9,079.12) | 9,079.12 (7,915.28, 10,943.22) | Exponential | |
- With chronic complications | 9,220.85 (7,56145, 11,967.08) | 12,120.91 (8,800.51, 19,493.12) | Exponential | |
- With acute complications (add-on) | 251.06 (27.70, 685.43) | Exponential | ||
- With both acute and chronic complications (add-on) | 487.55 (97.68, 1,104.71) | Exponential | ||
Direct non-medical cost | Survey from 11 hospitals | |||
No chronic complications | 98.90 (44.53, 152.22) | 1,519.58 (586.15, 2,101.44) | Gamma | |
With chronic complications | 215.22 (96.89, 331.55) | 1,546.07 (596.34, 2,138.00) | Gamma | |
Indirect cost | ||||
No chronic complications | 78.46 (0, 143.77) | 1,004.71 (0, 3,157.69) | Gamma | |
With chronic complications | 170.75 (0, 313.15) | 1,022.22 (0, 3,212.64) | Gamma | |
Utility scores | ||||
No chronic complications | 0.731 (0.689, 0.772) | 0.811 (0.786, 0.837) | Beta | Survey from 11 hospitals |
With chronic complications | 0.599 (0.5060.692) | 0.639 (0.567, 0.712) | Beta |