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Table 3 Determining possible scenarios in the Iranian HS in terms of key uncertainties

From: Drivers, uncertainties, and future scenarios of the Iranian health system

Compatible scenario no. 6

Compatible scenario no. 5

Compatible scenario no. 4

Compatible scenario no. 3

Compatible scenario no. 2

Compatible scenario no. 1

 

Unfavorable governance

Unfavorable governance

Good governance

Good governance

Good governance

Good governance

Governance

Less healthy lifestyle

Unhealthy lifestyle: unproductive health

Healthy lifestyle: productive health

Healthy lifestyle: productive health

Healthy lifestyle: productive health

Healthy lifestyle: productive health

Life style

Weak

Weak

Medium

Good

Medium

Good

Manpower

Much

Medium

Much

Much

Much

Much

The environment

Inequitable: regressive

Inequitable: regressive

Equitable: progressive

Equitable: progressive

Equitable: progressive

Equitable: progressive

Financing

Undesirable

Undesirable

Medium

Medium

Desirable

Desirable

Support society / individuals health

Ineffective

Ineffective

Effective

Effective

Effective

Effective

Providing services

37

36

56

62

64

69

Total Impact Score

0

1

−2

-1

-1

1

Consistency Value