Fig. 1

Predictive margins for transitions to any LTC (upper panel) and institutionalized care (lower panel) by gender. Note: The categories are mutually exclusive in each of the four panels. The reference category is no partner/no child (far right). The margins were calculated by including an interaction term between the composite variable and gender using the full two-sex sample. As such, the portrayed effects are net of averaged covariates. Ninety five percent confidence intervals are shown at the predicted values. Corresponding estimates are found in Additional file 4