Model | Correcting Calibration-in-the-large | Mean Risk Non-COVID | Mean Risk COVID | Scaled Brier Score (%) | c-statistic (95 % CIs) | Calibration-in-the-large (95 % CIs) | Calibration Slope (95 % CIs) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M0 | No | 0.09 | 0.11 | -14.7 | 0.65 (0.62 to 0.69) | 0.19 (0.06 to 0.32) | 0.72 (0.53 to 0.91) |
M1 | No | 0.09 | 0.12 | -12.4 | 0.67 (0.64 to 0.7) | 0.18 (0.05 to 0.31) | 0.81 (0.63 to 0.99) |
M2 | No | 0.09 | 0.16 | -8.2 | 0.72 (0.69 to 0.75) | 0.19 (0.06 to 0.32) | 0.78 (0.65 to 0.91) |
M0 | Yes | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.5 | 0.65 (0.62 to 0.69) | - | 0.72 (0.53 to 0.91) |
M1 | Yes | 0.11 | 0.14 | 1.9 | 0.67 (0.64 to 0.7) | - | 0.81 (0.63 to 0.99) |
M2 | Yes | 0.10 | 0.18 | 5.2 | 0.72 (0.69 to 0.75) | - | 0.78 (0.65 to 0.91) |
M0` | No | 0.09 | 0.12 | -14.2 | 0.65 (0.61 to 0.68) | 0.18 (0.06 to 0.31) | 0.69 (0.51 to 0.87) |
M1` | No | 0.09 | 0.12 | -12.2 | 0.67 (0.64 to 0.7) | 0.17 (0.05 to 0.30) | 0.78 (0.60 to 0.96) |
M2` | No | 0.09 | 0.17 | -6.9 | 0.72 (0.69 to 0.75) | 0.18 (0.05 to 0.31) | 0.76 (0.64 to 0.89) |
M0` | Yes | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.2 | 0.65 (0.61 to 0.68) | - | 0.69 (0.51 to 0.87) |
M1` | Yes | 0.11 | 0.14 | 1.3 | 0.67 (0.64 to 0.7) | - | 0.78 (0.60 to 0.96) |
M2` | Yes | 0.10 | 0.19 | 5.5 | 0.72 (0.69 to 0.75) | - | 0.76 (0.64 to 0.89) |