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Table 2 Peak bed occupancy predicted using bed pathways data for patients with COVID-19 from UCH and CO-CIN

From: Importance of patient bed pathways and length of stay differences in predicting COVID-19 hospital bed occupancy in England

Dataset LoS used Ward peak bed occupancy CC peak bed occupancy
Median peak time IQR peak time Mean peak
occ.
s.d. peak
occ.
Median peak time IQR peak time Mean peak occ. s.d. peak occ.
UCH Bed pathways 03/04/20 31/03/20–03/04/20 54 4.06 02/04/20 31/03/20–04/04/20 13 2.51
Averages 31/03/20 30/03/20–03/04/20 46 3.51 31/03/20 30/04/20–03/04/20 11 2.12
Data 31/03/20 N/A 59 N/A 31/03/20 N/A 16 N/A
CO-CIN Bed pathways 10/04/20 09/04/20–10/04/20 20,469 89.89 14/04/20 13/04/20–15/04/20 4530 65.05
Averages 10/04/20 10/04/20–10/04/20 18,209 99.07 11/04/20 10/04/20–12/04/20 3835 56.26
Data 12/04/20 N/A 16,093 N/A 12/04/20 N/A 2881 N/A
  1. Daily hospital admissions are taken from UCH or UK Government data at the England level. Peak is defined as the earliest time at which maximum bed occupancy is reached. Results are from 100 model runs. Date format is dd/mm/yy. CC critical care, Occ. occupancy, s.d. standard deviation