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Table 5 One-day-ahead predictions - mean case scenario

From: Prediction of hospital bed capacity during the COVID− 19 pandemic

 

Cohort

ICU Midcare

ICU Standard

ICU Ventilated

actual day

Actual

prediction

diff

actual

prediction

diff

actual

prediction

diff

actual

prediction

Diff

April 20, 2020

22

  

9

  

0

  

25

  

April 21, 2020

19

23

4

9

9

0

1

0

-1

24

25

1

April 22, 2020

20

21

1

4

9

5

1

0

-1

25

24

-1

April 23, 2020

19

21

2

4

3

-1

1

1

0

22

25

3

April 24, 2020

16

20

4

5

4

-1

2

1

-1

22

21

-1

April 25, 2020

14

19

5

6

4

-2

2

2

0

21

21

0

April 26, 2020

13

16

3

9

6

−3

2

2

0

20

20

0

April 27, 2020

14

14

0

10

8

−2

1

2

1

20

20

0

April 28, 2020

17

15

−2

8

10

2

0

1

1

15

20

5

  1. Legend: `Actual’ refers to the actual numbers of patients on the actual day. `Prediction’ refers to the prediction number of patients for this Ward type made on the previous day. `Diff’ shows the difference between the predicted and the actual number of patients