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Table 3 Result table

From: Prediction of hospital bed capacity during the COVID− 19 pandemic

day

Cohort

ICU Midcare

ICU Standard

ICU Ventilated

  

Actual

  

Actual

  

Actual

  

Actual

 

2020-04-15

36

8

0

27

2020-04-16

35

8

1

26

2020-04-17

41

6

0

23

2020-04-18

28

7

0

24

2020-04-19

24

8

1

24

 

Best

Median

Worst

Best

Median

Worst

Best

Median

Worst

Best

Median

Worst

2020-04 − 20

24

[24–24]

25

[24.96–25.04]

27

[27–28]

10

[10–10]

10

[9.98–10.02]

11

[10.6–11]

1

[1–1]

1

[0.98–1.02]

1

[1–1]

24

[24–24]

24

[23.98–24.02]

24

[24–26.13]

2020-04-21

25

[25–26]

27

[26.91–27.09]

30

[29–32]

8

[8–8]

9

[8.96–9.04]

10

[10–10.53]

1

[1–1]

1

[0.96–1.04]

1

[1–3.32]

24

[24–24]

24

[23.96–24.04]

25

[24.47–25.67]

2020-04-22

27

[26.89–28]

30

[29.84–30.16]

33

[32–33.11]

6

[6–6]

7

[6.93–7.07]

8

[8–9]

1

[1–1]

1

[0.93–1.07]

1

[1–2]

25

[25–25]

25

[24.93–25.07]

26

[26–27]

2020-04-23

31

[31–32]

34

[33.8–34.2]

37

[37–39.33]

5

[5–5]

6

[5.91–6.09]

8

[8–9]

1

[1–1]

1

[0.91–1.09]

1

[1–2]

26

[26–26]

26

[25.91–26.09]

27

[27–28]

2020-04-24

27

[26–27]

30

[29.76–30.24]

34

[33–35.22]

4

[4–4]

5

[4.89–5.11]

7

[7–8]

1

[1–1]

1

[0.89–1.11]

2

[1–2]

26

[26–26]

26

[25.89–26.11]

28

[28–28]

2020-04-25

23

[21.89–23.1]

26

[25.72–26.28]

30

[29–31.22]

2

[2–2]

3

[2.88–3.12]

6

[5–6]

1

[1–1]

1

[0.88–1.12]

2

[2–2]

25

[25–25]

26

[25.88–26.12]

27

[27–27.18]

2020-04-26

15

[14–16]

19

[18.7–19.3]

23

[22–25]

1

[1–1]

3

[2.86–3.14]

5

[5–6]

1

[1–1]

1

[0.86–1.14]

2

[1–2]

25

[25–25]

26

[25.86–26.14]

27

[27–28]

2020-04-27

9

[8–9]

12

[11.7–12.3]

16

[15.9–18]

1

[1–1]

3

[2.87–3.13]

5

[5–5]

1

[1–1]

1

[0.87–1.13]

2

[1.19–2]

25

[25–25]

26

[25.87–26.13]

28

[27–28]

2020-04-28

11

[9–11]

14

[13.7–14.3]

18

[17–20]

1

[1–1]

3

[2.87–3.13]

5

[5–6]

1

[1–1]

1

[0.87–1.13]

2

[1–2]

23

[23–23]

24

[23.87–24.13]

26

[25.46–26]

2020-04-29

9

[8–10]

13

[12.66–13.34]

17

[16–18.11]

1

[1–1]

3

[2.85–3.15]

5

[5–5]

1

[1–1]

1

[0.85–1.15]

2

[1–2]

22

[22–22]

23

[22.85–23.15]

25

[25–26]

  1. Legend: Actual numbers of patients in the hospital at the specific wards and the predicted numbers for the next ten days – April 20, 2020. The predictions are made for the three different scenarios (Best Q05, Median. Worst Q90) with the Monte Carlo simulation error