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Table 2 Hypothetical scenarios under ‘new rules SRTI’

From: Changing the eligibility criteria for welfare payments at the end of life – a budget impact analysis for England and Wales

Scenario

Long-run claim increase

Growth rate

Age threshold for claim increase

Fraction of increased claims from non-SRTI

Main scenarios

 Low increase

1 pp

1 x current rate

40

10%

 Medium increase

2 pp

1 x current rate

40

10%

 High increase

3 pp

1 x current rate

40

10%

Robustness – varying growth rate

 Low increase, fast growth

1 pp

5 x current rate

40

10%

 Low increase, very fast growth

1 pp

10 x current rate

40

10%

 Medium increase, fast growth

2 pp

5 x current rate

40

10%

 Medium increase, very fast growth

2 pp

10 x current rate

40

10%

 High increase, fast growth

3 pp

5 x current rate

40

10%

 High increase, very fast growth

3 pp

10 x current rate

40

10%

Robustness – varying claims from non-SRTI

 Low increase, low claims from non-SRTI

1 pp

1 x current rate

40

0%

 Low increase, medium claims from non-SRTI

1 pp

1 x current rate

40

5%

 Low increase, high claims from non-SRTI

1 pp

1 x current rate

40

20%

 Medium increase, low claims from non-SRTI

2 pp

1 x current rate

40

0%

 Medium increase, medium claims from non-SRTI

2 pp

1 x current rate

40

5%

 Medium increase, high claims from non-SRTI

2 pp

1 x current rate

40

20%

 High increase, low claims from non-SRTI

3 pp

1 x current rate

40

0%

 High increase, medium claims from non-SRTI

3 pp

1 x current rate

40

5%

 High increase, high claims from non-SRTI

3 pp

1 x current rate

40

20%

Robustness – varying age threshold for claim increase

 Low increase, age 20 threshold

1 pp

1 x current rate

20

10%

 Low increase, age 30 threshold

1 pp

1 x current rate

30

10%

 Low increase, age 50 threshold

1 pp

1 x current rate

50

10%

 Medium increase, age 20 threshold

2 pp

1 x current rate

20

10%

 Medium increase, age 30 threshold

2 pp

1 x current rate

30

10%

 Medium increase, age 50 threshold

2 pp

1 x current rate

50

10%

 High increase, age 20 threshold

3 pp

1 x current rate

20

10%

 High increase, age 30 threshold

3 pp

1 x current rate

30

10%

 High increase, age 50 threshold

3 pp

1 x current rate

50

10%

  1. Each scenario has the following assumptions in common:- (1) Increased SRTI claims were only seen in the disease categories infectious and parasitic diseases; neoplasms; mental and behavioural disorders; diseases of the nervous system; diseases of the circulatory system; diseases of the respiratory system; diseases of the digestive system; and diseases of the genitourinary system. (2) Long-run claim increases for 65–69 year olds and over 70s were 75 and 10% respectively of the increases for individuals aged under 65
  2. SRTI special rules for the terminally ill, pp percentage point(s)
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BMC Health Services Research

ISSN: 1472-6963

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