Table 3 Simulation results—baseline
Items | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Outpatient medical expenses | Total medical expenses (CNY) | 304.2 | 311.0 | 314.5 |
Medicine expenses (CNY) | 176.5 | 178.1 | 176.1 | |
Physical examination expenses (CNY) | 35.6 | 36.4 | 37.4 | |
Ratio of medicine to total medical expenses | 58.0% | 57.3% | 56.0% | |
Ratio of physical examinations to total medical expenses | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% | |
Inpatient medical expenses | Total medical expenses (CNY) | 15,789.0 | 15,487.4 | 14,662.1 |
Medicine expenses (CNY) | 5382.1 | 5166.4 | 4753.9 | |
Physical examination expenses (CNY) | 1005.3 | 1019.1 | 1033.8 | |
Ratio of medicine to total medical expenses | 37.0% | 33.4% | 32.4% | |
Ratio of physical examinations to total medical expenses | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | |
Proportion of government’s financial subsidies to total income | Tertiary comprehensive hospital | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
Specialized hospital | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | |
District hospital | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | |
Community health service center | 15.2% | 15.6% | 16.3% | |
Proportion of patients in a certain type of medical institution to total number of patients | Tertiary comprehensive hospital | 40.2% | 40.2% | 40.2% |
Specialized hospital | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | |
District hospital | 44.0% | 44.0% | 44.0% | |
Community health service center | 13.8% | 13.9% | 14.0% | |
Over-prescription | Probability of over-prescription | 50.0% | 50.2% | 50.0% |