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Table 2 Model validation

From: Control of unreasonable growth of medical expenses in public hospitals in Shanghai, China: a multi-agent system model

 

2015

2016

Simulated value

Actual value

Difference

Simulated value

Actual value

Difference

Outpatient total medical expenses (CNYa)

304.2

306.9

−0.9%

311.0

330.2

−5.8%

Outpatient medicine expenses (CNYa)

176.5

168.5

4.7%

178.1

173.0

2.9%

Outpatient physical examination expenses (CNYa)

35.6

34.4

3.5%

36.4

39.0

−6.7%

Ratio of outpatient medicine to total medical expenses

58.0%

54.9%

5.6%

57.3%

52.4%

9.4%

Ratio of outpatient physical examinations to total medical expenses

11.7%

11.2%

4.5%

11.7%

11.8%

−0.8%

Inpatient total medical expenses (CNYa)

15,789.0

15,935.7

−0.9%

15,487.4

16,942.5

−8.6%

Inpatient medicine expenses (CNYa)

5382.1

5523.7

−2.6%

5166.4

5584.0

−7.5%

Inpatient physical examination expenses (CNYa)

1005.3

933.9

7.6%

1019.1

1033.1

−1.4%

Ratio of inpatient medicine to total medical expenses

37.0%

34.1%

1.7%

33.4%

33.0%

1.2%

Ratio of inpatient physical examination to total medical expenses

6.4%

5.9%

8.5%

6.6%

6.1%

8.2%

  1. aCNY Chinese Yuan (currency unit)