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Table 4 Forecasted patients by disease, 2015 to 2035

From: Forecasting maldistribution of human resources for healthcare and patients in Japan: a utilization-based approach

SMCA in Hokkaido

Cerebral stroke

Acute myocardial infarction

All medical care

2015

2025

2035

2015

2025

2035

2015

2025

2035

Minami Oshima

1140

1260

1265

299

310

297

29,580

28,341

25,505

Minami Hiyama

87

90

83

22

22

19

2029

1804

1494

Kitaoshima Hiyama

135

140

134

34

33

31

3145

2874

2508

Sapporo

5752

7710

9139

1540

1917

2139

165,399

181,746

186,181

Shiribeshi

726

763

730

187

185

169

17,589

16,183

13,973

Minami sorachi

586

642

631

151

153

144

13,954

13,102

11,559

Naka sorachi

400

424

402

102

101

90

9290

8487

7227

Kita sorachi

132

142

134

33

33

29

2910

2647

2232

Nishi iburi

614

687

678

160

166

154

15,245

14,607

12,974

Higashi iburi

548

665

724

148

168

173

15,343

15,768

15,098

Hidaka

215

232

230

56

57

54

5437

5114

4561

Kamikawa chubu

1183

1407

1491

312

344

343

30,518

30,699

28,630

Kamikawa hokubu

230

245

237

59

59

54

5485

5117

4532

Furano

131

144

145

34

35

35

3335

3216

2983

Rumoi

174

184

176

45

44

40

4082

3712

3150

Souya

204

225

227

54

56

54

5284

5040

4530

Hokumou

675

793

839

177

194

194

17,224

17,164

16,057

Enmon

242

258

249

62

62

57

5802

5376

4698

Tokachi

965

1165

1270

254

285

295

25,520

26,083

25,228

Kushiro

661

763

788

177

190

184

17,726

17,251

15,611

Nemuro

197

231

247

53

58

59

5568

5558

5254

Hokkaido

14,998

18,170

19,820

3958

4472

4614

400,465

409,889

393,986