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Table 3 Forecasted physicians, 2015 to 2035

From: Forecasting maldistribution of human resources for healthcare and patients in Japan: a utilization-based approach

SMCA in Hokkaido

Cardiovascular specialist

Neurosurgical specialist

All clinical physician

2015

2025

2035

2015

2025

2035

2015

2025

2035

Minami Oshima

17

14

13

16

13

13

904

728

684

Minami Hiyama

0

0

0

0

0

0

32

26

24

Kitaoshima Hiyama

0

0

0

1

1

1

48

39

36

Sapporo

140

117

109

134

112

105

6813

5486

5151

Shiribeshi

5

4

4

7

6

5

428

345

324

Minami sorachi

6

5

5

3

2

2

293

236

222

Naka sorachi

5

4

4

7

6

5

255

205

193

Kita sorachi

0

0

0

1

1

1

72

58

54

Nishi iburi

6

5

5

6

5

5

420

338

318

Higashi iburi

2

2

2

9

7

7

350

282

265

Hidaka

0

0

0

0

0

0

75

60

57

Kamikawa chubu

25

21

20

24

20

19

1310

1055

990

Kamikawa hokubu

3

2

2

3

2

2

115

93

87

Furano

0

0

0

0

0

0

57

46

43

Rumoi

0

0

0

1

1

1

74

60

56

Souya

0

0

0

2

2

2

66

53

50

Hokumou

6

5

5

8

7

6

358

288

271

Enmon

4

3

3

0

0

0

603

486

456

Tokachi

13

11

10

15

12

12

402

324

304

Kushiro

7

6

5

14

12

11

100

81

76

Nemuro

2

2

2

0

0

0

78

63

59

Hokkaido

241

201

188

251

209

196

12,853

10,349

9718