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Table 1 Projected increases to long wait patients by category under a ‘do nothing’ scenario

From: The use of modelling studies to inform planning of health services: case study of rapidly increasing endoscopy services in Australia

Category Number of long wait patients  
Model starting point 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 % change 2017–2021
Health Service A
 4 # 632 533 486 480 507 −20%
 5 # 2154 2396 2603 2942 3347 55%
 6 # 360 554 601 654 743 106%
 Total # 3146 3483 3690 4076 4596 46%
Health Service B
 4 # 330 242 217 245 273 −17%
 5 # 946 1080 1292 1607 1937 105%
 6 # 0 89 162 241 308
 Total # 1276 1410 1670 2092 2517 97%
  1. # Data are not publicly available and have been omitted due to their sensitive nature. Figures are below those reported for subsequent years