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Table 1 Projected increases to long wait patients by category under a ‘do nothing’ scenario

From: The use of modelling studies to inform planning of health services: case study of rapidly increasing endoscopy services in Australia

Category

Number of long wait patients

 

Model starting point

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

% change 2017–2021

Health Service A

 4

#

632

533

486

480

507

−20%

 5

#

2154

2396

2603

2942

3347

55%

 6

#

360

554

601

654

743

106%

 Total

#

3146

3483

3690

4076

4596

46%

Health Service B

 4

#

330

242

217

245

273

−17%

 5

#

946

1080

1292

1607

1937

105%

 6

#

0

89

162

241

308

 Total

#

1276

1410

1670

2092

2517

97%

  1. # Data are not publicly available and have been omitted due to their sensitive nature. Figures are below those reported for subsequent years