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Table 5 Multinomial Prediction of LTI and Death without Prior LTI in Q2-Q5 (1 Year), 2004 NLTCS Community Sample (n = 12,563). (“Neither event” is reference category)

From: Validation of the JEN frailty index in the National Long-Term Care Survey community population: identifying functionally impaired older adults from claims data

Multinomial Models
Predictors
Log Odds [Wald 95% c.i.] Area under ROC Curve [95% c.i.] Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 (p) Brier Score [pseudo-R2]
Multivariable Model with JFI Response = Death (n = 605)
 Age 1.090 [1.080, 1.100] 0.759 [0.074, 0.778] 8.906 [d.f. = 8] (0.350) 0.044 [0.126]
 Gender 1.983 [1.657, 2.372]
 JFI Score 1.178 [1.129, 1.230]
Response = LTI (n = 156)
 Age 1.096 [1.076, 1.115] 0.781 [0.747, 0.815] 6.956 [d.f. = 8] (0.542) 0.012 [0.102]
 Gender 0.780 [0.556, 1.122]
 JFI Score 1.249 [1.157, 1.348]
Multivariable Model with ADL Response = Death (n = 605)
 Age 1.070 [1.059, 1.080] 0.768 [0.748, 0.788] 13.747 (0.089) 0.042 [0.151]
 Gender 2.098 [1.755, 2.508]
 ADL Count 1.395 [1.338, 1.455]
Response = LTI (n = 156)
 Age 1.068 [1.049, 1.088] 0.829 [0.799, 0.860] 41.233 (< 0.001) 0.012 [0.125]
 Gender 0.962 [0.673, 1.375]
 ADL Count 1.391 [1.291, 1.499]