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Table 3 Estimation results of MR adding DPS real and predicted (fitted) values to the model. MR is in deaths/10.000

From: Real and predicted mortality under health spending constraints in Italy: a time trend analysis through artificial neural networks

Year

Real

Real values

Fitted values

Prediction

95% interval

Prediction

95% interval

Forecasts with Neural Network

 2011

83.74

83.95

(80.16, 87.71)

82.61

(78.25, 86.97)

 2012

84.78

84.38

(79.30, 89.47)

81.49

(77.65, 85.35)

 2013

80.59

85.06

(80.06, 90.06)

80.57

(76.45, 84.69)

 2014

78.29

84.45

(79.46, 89.44)

79.81

(76.24, 83.38)