Table 2 Discrimination and calibration statistics for predicting GOS-E good recovery and return to work

Model

N

AUC (95% CI)

H-L statistic (p value)

LR-test

(p-value)

Age and gender

500

0.57 (0.52, 0.63)

2.3 (0.89)

–

Age, gender and medical record data

500

0.62 (0.57, 0.67)

7.1 (0.52)

11.7 (< 0.01)^a

Age, gender, ICD-10-AM

500

0.58 (0.53, 0.63)

3.3 (0.91)

0.7 (0.42) ^a

N

AUC (95% CI)

H-L statistic (p value)

LR-test

(p-value)

Age and gender

348

0.55 (0.49, 0.62)

4.3 (0.75)

–

Age, gender and medical record data

348

0.69 (0.63, 0.76)

7.5 (0.48)

38.1 (< 0.01) ^a

Age, gender, ICD-10-AM

348

0.59 (0.52, 0.65)

3.6 (0.89)

5.9 (0.01) ^a