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Table 1 Health outcomes used in study model

From: Cost-effectiveness analysis of metformin+dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors compared to metformin+sulfonylureas for treatment of type 2 diabetes

Variables (Annual Rate)

Valuea

References

Treatment failure

 Metformin monotherapy

0.046

Kahn et al., 2006 [16]

 Metformin+dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor

0.013

Rascati et al., 2013 [17] and Bergenheim et al., 2012 [12]

 Metformin+sulfonylurea

0.053

Rascati et al., 2013 [17]

Death rate

 60–70 years

0.021

Zhuo et al., 2014 [19]

 71–80 years

0.051

Zhuo et al., 2014 [19]

 Over 81 years

0.107

Zhuo et al., 2014 [19]

Death hazard ratio of Metformin+SU to Metformin+DPP-4i

1.850

Morgan et al., 2014 [20]

Hypoglycemia

 Severe hypoglycemia among patients with Metformin+SU

0.016

Goke et al., 2010 [9]

 Hypoglycemia with medical assistance among patients with Metformin+SU

0.009

Goke et al., 2010 [9]

 Severe hypoglycemia among patients with insulin glargine

0.010

The Origin Trial Investigators, 2012 [21]

Weight gain in the first year after starting SU

0.510

Bergenheim et al., 2012 [12]

Myocardial infarction

 Metformin monotherapy

0.004

Kahn et al., 2006 [16]

 Metformin+dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor

0.004

Gitt et al., 2013 [11]

 Metformin+sulfonylurea

0.000

Gitt et al., 2013 [11]

 Insulin glargine

0.009

The Origin Trial Investigators, 2012 [21]

Heart failure

 Metformin monotherapy

0.003

Kahn et al., 2006 [16]

 Metformin+dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor

0.017

Gitt et al., 2013 [11]

 Metformin+sulfonylurea

0.020

Gitt et al., 2013 [11]

 Insulin glargine

0.009

The Origin Trial Investigators, 2012 [21]

Stroke

 Metformin monotherapy

0.003

Kahn et al., 2006 [16]

 Metformin+dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor

0.002

Gitt et al., 2013 [11]

 Metformin+sulfonylurea

0.020

Gitt et al., 2013 [11]

 Insulin glargine

0.009

The Origin Trial Investigators, 2012 [21]

  1. a Probability during certain period was converted to the rate per 1 year using following equation. (The rate was assumed to be constant over that period) \( Rate=1-{\left(\frac{initial\kern0.17em probability- probability\kern0.17em change}{initial\kern0.17em probability}\right)}^{\frac{1}{years}} \)