Hospital daily outpatient visits forecasting using a combinatorial model based on ARIMA and SES models

Table 3 Forecasting performance comparison of two models during the 45th week

Time series data	Within a single week	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday	Sunday	Forecasting performance MAPE
EOV	observed values	206	193	182	171	150	86	34
	ARIMA model	194.40	189.47	194.27	248.46	197.90	66.11	41.00	19.31%
	SES model	196.76	195.68	190.00	256.56	193.76	76.33	46.28	19.55%
ROV	observed values	173	178	145	161	163	18	11
	ARIMA model	197.32	197.88	160.23	174.97	121.83	24.85	18.03	25.44%
	SES model	186.12	196.28	177.78	185.36	126.76	27.32	13.61	21.90%

ISSN: 1472-6963