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Table 3 Validation of different methods of identifying a long term care (LTC) nursing home stay using Medicare and MDS data, vs. data in Medicaid as the gold standard, restricted to patients who were hospitalized and discharged to a skilled nursing facility

From: Comparison of methods to identify long term care nursing home residence with administrative data

Method

LTC nursing home length of stay in Medicaid data

 

Cut off Length of stay >30a

Cut off Length of stay >100a

 

N = 1,666

N = 317

1) Part A and B with E&M Charge for NH Services

 Sensitivity

88.79%

92.42%

 PPVb

 

64.59%b

2) Part A with MDS episode of care

 Sensitivity

85.05%

78.86%

 PPV

87.38%

88.07%

3) CMS Method: MDS alone

 Sensitivity

69.39%

80.12%

 PPVb

 

72.70%b

  1. MDS minimum data set, E&M evaluation and management, NH nursing home, PPV positive predictive value, CMS Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services
  2. aFor the cut off of > 30 or >100 day lengths of stay, the Medicaid data demonstrated > 30 and > 100 day length of stay in the validation
  3. bOnly one PPV could be detected for the different lengths of stay in methods one and three. Method one relies on a provider charges to identify nursing home stays, and length of stay cannot be reliably estimated. Method three uses any length of stay in a nursing facility (whether skilled nursing facility or LTC) > 100 days as the criterion