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Table 1 Event probabilities

From: Avoidable costs of stenting for aortic coarctation in the United Kingdom: an economic model

  Probability estimate SD Distribution Source
Event
 Treatment success after stenting 0.967 0.0128 Beta [9]
 Intervention after unsuccessful stenting:
  Repeat stenting 0.5 0.1 Beta Assumption
  Surgery 0.5 0.1 Beta Assumption, inverse probability of repeat stenting
 Aortic wall injury after stenting 0.008 0.0026 Beta [12,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,, 2840]
 Intervention after aortic wall injury:
  Percutaneous treatment 0.9 0.02 Beta Assumption
  Surgery 0.1 0.02 Beta Assumption, inverse probability of percutaneous treatment
Short-term follow-up
 Imaging 1 0.01 Beta [10]
 Patients requiring anti-hypertension medication 0.43 0.0301 Beta [31, 32]
 Patients requiring reintervention 0.091 0.0286 Beta [30, 32]
  Reintervention for aortic wall injury 0.1 0.02 Beta Assumption, based on literature [30,31,32, 40]
  Reintervention for re-coarctation 0.9 0.02 Beta Assumption, inverse probability of reintervention for aortic wall injury
Mid-term follow-up
 Imaging 1 0.01 Beta [10]
 Patients requiring anti-hypertension medication 0.389 0.1051 Beta [28, 31, 32, 38]
 Patients requiring reintervention 0.185 0.0413 Beta [12, 28, 29, 31, 33, 34, 36, 38, 39]
  Reintervention for aortic wall injury 0.5 0.02 Beta Assumption, based on literature [12,32,33,, 28, 29, 3134, 36, 38, 39]
  Reintervention for re-coarctation 0.95 0.02 Beta Assumption, inverse probability of reintervention for aortic wall injury