Cost-effectiveness of medical primary prevention strategies to reduce absolute risk of cardiovascular disease in Tanzania: a Markov modelling study

Ngalesoni, Frida N.; Ruhago, George M.; Mori, Amani T.; Robberstad, Bjarne; Norheim, Ole F.

doi:10.1186/s12913-016-1409-3

Table 12 Annual risk of acute myocardial infarction and stroke for low CVD risk males and moderate to very high CVD risk females

From: Cost-effectiveness of medical primary prevention strategies to reduce absolute risk of cardiovascular disease in Tanzania: a Markov modelling study

No previous history of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) or stroke
CVD risk
	Acute myocardial infarction				Stroke
Age	Low	Moderate	High	Very high	Low	Moderate	High	Very high
40-49	0.0040	0.0080	0.0100	0.0180	0.0040	0.0030	0.0030	0.0080
50-59	0.0060	0.0140	0.0160	0.0250	0.0040	0.0030	0.0040	0.0090
60-69	0.0100	0.0180	0.0210	0.0310	0.0050	0.0050	0.0060	0.0160
70-79	0.0140	0.0190	0.0230	0.0330	0.0080	0.0090	0.0110	0.0270
80-89	0.0190	0.0210	0.0250	0.0360	0.0130	0.0160	0.0190	0.0430
90-99	0.0230	0.0230	0.0270	0.0380	0.0150	0.0270	0.0320	0.0640
CVD risk with diabetes
40-49	0.0060	0.0130	0.0160	0.0270	0.0050	0.0050	0.0050	0.0090
50-59	0.0090	0.0190	0.0230	0.0360	0.0050	0.0060	0.0060	0.0110
60-69	0.0140	0.0210	0.0250	0.0420	0.0070	0.0090	0.0110	0.0190
70-79	0.0190	0.0230	0.0270	0.0440	0.0110	0.0160	0.0190	0.0320
80-89	0.0240	0.0250	0.0290	0.0510	0.0170	0.0270	0.0320	0.0500
90-99	0.0290	0.0270	0.0310	0.0560	0.0190	0.0430	0.0500	0.0710
With previous history of AMI or stroke
CVD risk
	Acute myocardial infarction				Stroke
Age	Low	Moderate	High	Very high	Low	Moderate	High	Very high
40-49	0.0042	0.0088	0.0115	0.0216	0.0045	0.0035	0.0036	0.0106
50-59	0.0063	0.0154	0.0184	0.0300	0.0045	0.0035	0.0048	0.0120
60-69	0.0105	0.0198	0.0242	0.0372	0.0057	0.0059	0.0072	0.0213
70-79	0.0147	0.0209	0.0265	0.0396	0.0090	0.0105	0.0132	0.0359
80-89	0.0200	0.0231	0.0288	0.0432	0.0147	0.0187	0.0228	0.0572
90-99	0.0242	0.0253	0.0311	0.0456	0.0170	0.0316	0.0384	0.0851
CVD risk with diabetes
40-49	0.0063	0.0143	0.0184	0.0324	0.0057	0.0059	0.0060	0.0120
50-59	0.0095	0.0209	0.0265	0.0432	0.0057	0.0070	0.0072	0.0146
60-69	0.0147	0.0231	0.0288	0.0504	0.0079	0.0105	0.0132	0.0253
70-79	0.0200	0.0253	0.0311	0.0528	0.0124	0.0187	0.0228	0.0426
80-89	0.0252	0.0275	0.0334	0.0612	0.0192	0.0316	0.0384	0.0665
90-99	0.0305	0.0297	0.0357	0.0672	0.0215	0.0503	0.0600	0.0944

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ISSN: 1472-6963

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