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Table 2 Projected results of health-related indicators of prostate cancer*

From: Cost of illness of the prostate cancer in Japan—a time-trend analysis and future projections

  2011 (base line)   Future estimates
2014 2017 2020
Number of prostate cancer death (person)    Fixed model 12,425 (1.15) 13,726 (1.27) 14,833 (1.37)
10,823 (1.00) Linear model 12,862 (1.19) 14,165 (1.31) 15,352 (1.42)
   Logarithmic model 12,934 (1.20) 14,341 (1.33) 15,597 (1.44)
Number of outpatient visit (person)    Fixed model 5,585,678 (1.09) 5,655,557 (1.10) 6,176,422 (1.20)
5,139,223 (1.00) Linear model 6,979,937 (1.36) 7,987,933 (1.55) 9,254,791 (1.80)
   Logarithmic model 5,696,500 (1.11) 6,154,510 (1.20) 6,747,682 (1.31)
Number of times of hospitalization (times)    Fixed model 15,061 (1.05) 15,489 (1.08) 15,911 (1.11)
14,300 (1.00) Linear model 17,981 (1.26) 20,439 (1.43) 23,251 (1.63)
   Logarithmic model 15,673 (1.10) 16,822 (1.18) 18,155 (1.27)
Total days of hospitalization (days)    Fixed model 1,938,841 (1.10) 2,069,475 (1.18) 2,178,139 (1.24)
1,756,560 (1.00) Linear model 1,769,365 (1.01) 2,011,227 (1.14) 2,287,945 (1.30)
   Logarithmic model 1,895,770 (1.08) 1,884,734 (1.07) 1,869,085 (1.06)
  1. *Index number having a value of 1.00 at baseline shown in parentheses