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Table 4 Forecast of bed occupancy in the late stage of the outbreak

From: Using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to predict and monitor the number of beds occupied during a SARS outbreak in a tertiary hospital in Singapore

Day of outbreak

 

67th Day

70th day

73rd Day

76th Day

MAPE

Three-day forecast

Actual number of beds

     

Day 68

108

97

   

22

Day 69

132

106

    

Day 70

153

96

    

Day 71

134

 

129

  

16

Day 72

119

 

134

   

Day 73

105

 

136

   

Day 74

100

  

112

 

17

Day 75

101

  

119

  

Day 76

96

  

117

  

Day 77

79

   

103

35

Day 78

79

   

106

 

Day 79

75

   

105

 
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BMC Health Services Research

ISSN: 1472-6963

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