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Table 4 Forecast of bed occupancy in the late stage of the outbreak

From: Using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to predict and monitor the number of beds occupied during a SARS outbreak in a tertiary hospital in Singapore

Day of outbreak   67th Day 70th day 73rd Day 76th Day MAPE
Three-day forecast Actual number of beds      
Day 68 108 97     22
Day 69 132 106     
Day 70 153 96     
Day 71 134   129    16
Day 72 119   134    
Day 73 105   136    
Day 74 100    112   17
Day 75 101    119   
Day 76 96    117   
Day 77 79     103 35
Day 78 79     106  
Day 79 75     105