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Table 3 Forecast of bed occupancy in the initial stage of the outbreak

From: Using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to predict and monitor the number of beds occupied during a SARS outbreak in a tertiary hospital in Singapore

Day of outbreak

 

3rd Day

6th day

9th Day

12th Day

MAPE

Three-day forecast

Actual number of beds

     

Day 4

36

37

   

6

Day 5

44

42

    

Day 6

51

46

    

Day 7

70

 

60

  

10

Day 8

81

 

72

   

Day 9

90

 

87

   

Day 10

92

  

99

 

7

Day 11

111

  

108

  

Day 12

125

  

111

  

Day 13

132

   

116

9

Day 14

131

   

122

 

Day 15

115

   

124

 
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BMC Health Services Research

ISSN: 1472-6963

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