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Table 3 Forecast of bed occupancy in the initial stage of the outbreak

From: Using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to predict and monitor the number of beds occupied during a SARS outbreak in a tertiary hospital in Singapore

Day of outbreak   3rd Day 6th day 9th Day 12th Day MAPE
Three-day forecast Actual number of beds      
Day 4 36 37     6
Day 5 44 42     
Day 6 51 46     
Day 7 70   60    10
Day 8 81   72    
Day 9 90   87    
Day 10 92    99   7
Day 11 111    108   
Day 12 125    111   
Day 13 132     116 9
Day 14 131     122  
Day 15 115     124