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Table 2 Comparison of various selected ARIMA models

From: Using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to predict and monitor the number of beds occupied during a SARS outbreak in a tertiary hospital in Singapore

Model Training Set MAPE Validation Set MAPE
ARIMA (1,0,0) 6.0% 9.0%
ARIMA (1,0,1) 6.2% 9.2%
ARIMA (1,0,2) 5.9% 8.4%
ARIMA (1,0,3) 5.7% 8.6%
ARIMA (1,0,4) 5.3% 13.1%
ARIMA (1,1,3) 5.3% 18.7%
ARIMA (0,0,2) 9.8% 32.8%
ARIMA (0,0,3) 9.5% 16.4%