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Table 2 Comparison of various selected ARIMA models

From: Using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to predict and monitor the number of beds occupied during a SARS outbreak in a tertiary hospital in Singapore

Model

Training Set MAPE

Validation Set MAPE

ARIMA (1,0,0)

6.0%

9.0%

ARIMA (1,0,1)

6.2%

9.2%

ARIMA (1,0,2)

5.9%

8.4%

ARIMA (1,0,3)

5.7%

8.6%

ARIMA (1,0,4)

5.3%

13.1%

ARIMA (1,1,3)

5.3%

18.7%

ARIMA (0,0,2)

9.8%

32.8%

ARIMA (0,0,3)

9.5%

16.4%

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BMC Health Services Research

ISSN: 1472-6963

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