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Table 1 Parameters for the final ARIMA model

From: Using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to predict and monitor the number of beds occupied during a SARS outbreak in a tertiary hospital in Singapore

Variable Coefficient 95 % CI p-value
Constant 17.03 6.43, 27.62 0.002
Previous day's total admissions -0.37 -0.63, -0.11 0.006
Previous day's probable case admissions 1.17 0.37, 1.97 0.004
ARMA Parameters    
AR (1) 1.02 0.98, 1.06 <0.001
MA (1) -1.34 -2.94, 0.27 0.102
MA (2) -0.96 -1.80, -0.12 0.026
MA (3) -0.95 -1.52, -0.38 0.001
Sigma 4.47 1.40, 7.53 0.004