Explanatory variables | Dependent variables | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Overall bed-densityaof IF 2010 Tokyo | Change in bed-densityaof IF 2002-2010 Tokyo | Overall bed-densityaof PNH 2008 Tokyo | Overall bed-densityaof IF 2009 NRW | Change in bed-densityaof 1999 -2009 NRW | |||||
 | Coefficient (95% CI) | β | Coefficient (95% CI)b | β | Coefficient (95% CI) | β | Coefficient (95% CI) | β | Coefficient (95% CI) | β |
Constant | -27.85 (-211.13; 155.43) | - | 22.69 (0.44; 44.94) | - | 43.80 (-3.66; 91.26) | - | 32.55 (15.18; 49.91) | - | 39.36 (26.61; 52.10) | - |
Explanatory variables | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Costs/cost relevant | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Average facility size (beds) | 0.47 (0.03; 0.92) | 0.20* c | 0.03 (-0.02; 0.09) | 0.10 | 0.11 (0.04; 0.18) | 0.39** c | -0.07 (-0.19; 0.05) | -0.15 | Eliminated | - |
LTA land price (Â¥1000Â s)/ LTA rent-level for N | -0.08 (-0.15;-0.02) | -0.47* | Eliminated | - | -0.01 (-0.02;0.00) | -0.23 | Eliminated | - | Eliminated | - |
LTA wage of elderly care nurse for T (Â¥1000Â s)/ LTA duration for care nurse searchd for N (days) | 0.22 (-0.59; 1.04) | 0.05 | Eliminated | - | -0.19 (-0.37;-0.01) | -0.30* | Eliminated | - | Eliminated | - |
Need | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
LTA percent elderlye needing LTC | -8.96 (-13.31;-4.61) | -0.37*** | -66.26 (-160.91; 23.40) | -0.14 | 1.16 (0.04; 2.28) | 0.32* | 1.46 (0.63; 2.28) | 0.45*** | Eliminated | - |
LTA growth rate of elderlye needing LTC | - | - | -0.82 (-1.87; 0.22) | -0.14 | 0.88 (0.03;1.74) | 0.25* | Eliminated | - | Eliminated | - |
Profit/political intervention | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Initial bed-densitya of IF | - | - | -0.21 (-0.30;-0.13) | -0.82*** | - | - | - | - | -0.39 (-0.52;-0.26) | -0.59** |
LTA bed-density of IF for PNH/LTA bed-density of PNH for IF in T | - | - | Eliminated | - | Eliminated | - | - | - | - | - |
Density of subsidized bedsa | -0.64 (-1.99; 0.72) | -0.10 | 0.52 (0.29; 0.76) | 0.19*** | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Demand | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
LTA percent elderlye | 6.96 (5.15; 8.77) | 0.62*** | Eliminated | - | -1.26 (-2.17;-0.36) | -0.38** | Eliminated | - | Eliminated | - |
LTA growth rate of elderlye | Eliminated | - | -1.09 (-1.94;-0.23) | -0.20* | -0.99 (-2.31; 0.34) | -0.29 | -2.20 (-4.86; 0.48) | -0.22 | - 1.85 (-3.36;-0.35) | - 0.24* |
LTA residential tax for T (¥1000 s)/LTA disposal income for N (€1000 s) | 0.25 (-0.02; 0.52) | 0.32 | Eliminated | - | Eliminated | - | Eliminated | - | -0.98 (-1.64;-0.31) | -0.29** |
R2 | 0.74 | - | 0.82 | - | 0.56 | - | 0.24 | - | 0.56 | - |
Adjusted R2 | 0.70 | - | 0.79 | - | 0.48 | - | 0.19 | - | 0.53 | - |
F | 18.70*** | - | 29.92*** | - | 7.17*** | - | 5.13** | - | 20.82*** | - |
N | 54 | - | 51 | - | 47 | - | 54 | - | 54 | - |