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Table 1 The elements used for calculation in future prediction of Cost of illness (COI)

From: Cost of illness of the stomach cancer in Japan - a time trend and future projections

Model

   Item

Elements used for calculation

Fixed or Varied

Fixed model

Number of deaths

Mortality rate

Fixed

The population estimates

Varied

Direct cost

The expenses of outpatient visit and hospitalization

Fixed (Calculated using the unit cost in 2008)

Total person-days of outpatient visit

Varied

Total person-days of hospitalization

Varied

Morbidity cost

Number of times of outpatient visit per population

Fixed

Number of times of hospitalization per population

Fixed

Average length of stay

Fixed

The population estimates

varied

Labor-value

Fixed (one day labor-value loss for one hospitalized day and a half day labor-value loss for one outpatient visit)

Mortality cost

Number of deaths

Varied

Life expectancy

Fixed

Labor-value

Fixed

Discount rate: 3%

Fixed

Variable model

• Logarithm model

• Linear model

• Mixed model

Number of deaths

Mortality rate

Varied (Calculated using the trend line formula)

The population estimates

Varied

Direct cost

The expenses of outpatient visit and hospitalization

Fixed (Calculated using the unit cost in 2008)

Total person-days of outpatient visit

Varied

Total person-days of hospitalization

Varied

Morbidity cost

Number of times of outpatient visit per population

Varied (Calculated using the trend line formula)(minimum value: the previous value before 0)

Number of times of hospitalization per population

Varied (Calculated using the trend line formula)(minimum value: the previous value before 0)

Average length of stay

Varied (Calculated using the trend line formula)(minimum value: 8.2days)

The population estimates

Varied

Labor-value

Fixed (one day labor-value loss for one hospitalized day and a half day labor-value loss for one outpatient visit)

Mortality cost

Number of deaths

Varied

Life expectancy

Fixed

Labor-value

Fixed

Discount rate: 3%

Fixed

  1. Fixed: The value of 2008 was used. Varied: The values of 2014 and 2020 were calculated based on the trend line.