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Table 3 Extrapolation of absolute numbers and simulation of costs for ambulatory and hospital care

From: Direct costs of inequalities in health care utilization in Germany 1994 to 2009: a top-down projection

 

Extrapolation of empirical values

Change in direct costs: Scenario I (all like 150%)

Change in direct costs: Scenario II (< 60% like 60-150%)

 

Doctor visits in mil. per year

Hospital days mil. per year

Ambulatory in mil. euros

Hospitals in mil. euros

Overall in mil. euros

Ambulatory in mil. euros

Hospitals in mil. euros

Overall in mil. euros

Men

 

1994-1998

355.8

65.3

-3,985

-10,893

-14,878

-322

-967

-1,288

1999-2003

336.6

64.9

-3,005

-9,112

-12,117

-132

-958

-1,089

2004-2006

326.5

62.7

-5,859

-15,131

-20,990

-824

-1,714

-2,537

2007-2009

332.3

55.7

-4,167

-15,460

-19,627

-755

-1,431

-2,186

Women

 

1994-1998

511.7

84.8

-689

-2,936

-3,625

-618

-1,494

-2,112

1999-2003

466.7

76.4

-3,189

-3,300

-6,489

-554

-198

-753

2004-2006

438.3

69.7

1,313

-5,028

-3,714

-454

-2,324

-2,778

2007-2009

434.8

65.2

1,496

-2,140

-644

146

-1,231

-1,085

Both

 

1994-1998

867.5

150.1

-4,674

-13,829

-18,502

-939

-2,461

-3,400

1999-2003

803.4

141.3

-6,194

-12,412

-18,607

-686

-1,156

-1,842

2004-2006

764.8

132.4

-4,546

-20,159

-24,705

-1,277

-4,038

-5,315

2007-2009

767.0

120.8

-2,671

-17,600

-20,271

-609

-2,662

-3,271

  1. Data: SOEP 1994–2010, KiGGS 2003–06, Federal Statistical Office (2011a,b).