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Table 3 Extrapolation of absolute numbers and simulation of costs for ambulatory and hospital care

From: Direct costs of inequalities in health care utilization in Germany 1994 to 2009: a top-down projection

  Extrapolation of empirical values Change in direct costs: Scenario I (all like 150%) Change in direct costs: Scenario II (< 60% like 60-150%)
  Doctor visits in mil. per year Hospital days mil. per year Ambulatory in mil. euros Hospitals in mil. euros Overall in mil. euros Ambulatory in mil. euros Hospitals in mil. euros Overall in mil. euros
Men  
1994-1998 355.8 65.3 -3,985 -10,893 -14,878 -322 -967 -1,288
1999-2003 336.6 64.9 -3,005 -9,112 -12,117 -132 -958 -1,089
2004-2006 326.5 62.7 -5,859 -15,131 -20,990 -824 -1,714 -2,537
2007-2009 332.3 55.7 -4,167 -15,460 -19,627 -755 -1,431 -2,186
Women  
1994-1998 511.7 84.8 -689 -2,936 -3,625 -618 -1,494 -2,112
1999-2003 466.7 76.4 -3,189 -3,300 -6,489 -554 -198 -753
2004-2006 438.3 69.7 1,313 -5,028 -3,714 -454 -2,324 -2,778
2007-2009 434.8 65.2 1,496 -2,140 -644 146 -1,231 -1,085
Both  
1994-1998 867.5 150.1 -4,674 -13,829 -18,502 -939 -2,461 -3,400
1999-2003 803.4 141.3 -6,194 -12,412 -18,607 -686 -1,156 -1,842
2004-2006 764.8 132.4 -4,546 -20,159 -24,705 -1,277 -4,038 -5,315
2007-2009 767.0 120.8 -2,671 -17,600 -20,271 -609 -2,662 -3,271
  1. Data: SOEP 1994–2010, KiGGS 2003–06, Federal Statistical Office (2011a,b).