Table 4 Area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve of the case-mix based logistic regression models to identify patients located above the 95th percentile of health spending
From: Predictive risk modelling in the Spanish population: a cross-sectional study
Demographic variables only | ACG-PM | CRG | DCG-HCC | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Out of the box | AUC | 95% CI | AUC | 95% CI | AUC | 95% CI | AUC | 95% CI |
Variables: | ||||||||
A&S + dx + rx + cost percentiles (age < 65) | 0,816 | (0.813 - 0.818) | ||||||
A&S + dx + rx + cost percentiles (age 65+) | 0,761 | (0.760 - 0.764) | ||||||
A&S + dx | 0,787 | (0.786 - 0.789) | 0,824 | (0.822 - 0.825) | ||||
A&S + dx + rx + cost | 0,852 | (0.851 - 0.853) | ||||||
Recalibration | ||||||||
Variables: | ||||||||
A&S (Age and sex) | 0,774 | (0.773 - 0.776) | ||||||
A&S + Only Dx | 0,845 | (0.844 - 0.847) | 0,797 | (0.795 - 0.798) | 0,846 | (0.845 - 0.848) | ||
A&S + Only Rx | 0,833 | (0.831 - 0.834) | 0,837 | (0.836 - 0.838) | ||||
A&S + Dx + Rx | 0,847 | (0.853 - 0.856) | 0,858 | (0.857 - 0.859) | ||||
A&S + Dx + Rx + cost percentile | 0,868 | (0.866- 0.869) | 0.848* | (0.847 - 0.849) | 0,868 | (0.867 - 0.869) | ||
A&S + Dx + Rx + cost percentile + DI | 0,868 | (0.867 - 0.869) | 0.848* | (0.847 - 0.850) | 0,868 | |||