Table 4 The predicted and observed physician density (PD), continent, economic status, and analysis set in 130 countries, rank-ordered by the predicted-observed PD discrepancy
From: Predicting the demand of physician workforce: an international model based on "crowd behaviors"
Rank | Country | Continent | OECD | Economic | Analysis Set | Predicted PD | Observed PD | Discrepancy (per 10,000) | Population | Physician number |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Japan | AS | Yes | H | T | 36.3 | 20.6 | -15.7 | 126,804,433 | -199,397 |
2 | Bosnia/Herzegovina | EU | No | M | V | 28.8 | 13.6 | -15.2 | 4,621,598 | -7,005 |
3 | Sri Lanka | AS | No | M | T | 19.3 | 5.5 | -13.8 | 21,513,990 | -29,629 |
4 | Korea | AS | Yes | H | T | 28.6 | 16.3 | -12.3 | 48,636,068 | -59,672 |
5 | Romania | EU | No | M | T | 30.8 | 19.3 | -11.5 | 22,181,287 | -25,600 |
6 | Suriname | SA | No | M | T | 13.0 | 1.6 | -11.4 | 486,618 | -555 |
7 | Slovenia | EU | No | H | V | 34.3 | 23.7 | -10.7 | 2,003,136 | -2,134 |
8 | Canada | NA | Yes | H | T | 31.1 | 21.4 | -9.7 | 33,759,742 | -32,794 |
9 | Myanmar | AS | No | L | V | 12.9 | 3.6 | -9.3 | 48,137,741 | -44,694 |
10 | Bhutan | AS | No | M | T | 9.6 | 0.5 | -9.1 | 699,847 | -635 |
11 | Mauritius | AF | No | M | T | 19.3 | 10.6 | -8.7 | 1,294,104 | -1,132 |
12 | Poland | EU | Yes | M | T | 30.5 | 22.0 | -8.5 | 38,463,689 | -32,643 |
13 | Morocco | AF | No | M | T | 13.0 | 5.1 | -7.9 | 31,627,428 | -24,973 |
14 | Kiribati | AO | No | M | V | 9.8 | 2.3 | -7.5 | 115,401 | -87 |
15 | Croatia | EU | No | M | T | 32.0 | 24.8 | -7.2 | 4,486,881 | -3,237 |
16 | Serbia | EU | No | M | T | 27.0 | 20.0 | -7.0 | 7,344,847 | -5,110 |
17 | Montenegro | EU | No | M | V | 26.0 | 20.0 | -6.0 | 666,730 | -399 |
18 | Iran | ME | No | M | T | 14.6 | 8.8 | -5.8 | 67,037,517 | -39,190 |
19 | United Kingdom | EU | Yes | H | T | 29.0 | 23.7 | -5.3 | 61,284,806 | -32,431 |
20 | Albania | EU | No | M | V | 16.9 | 11.8 | -5.1 | 3,659,616 | -1,859 |
21 | Tunisia | AF | No | M | V | 18.2 | 13.4 | -4.8 | 10,589,025 | -5,122 |
22 | Seychelles | AF | No | M | T | 19.4 | 15.1 | -4.3 | 88,340 | -38 |
23 | Bangladesh | AS | No | L | V | 7.1 | 2.8 | -4.3 | 158,065,841 | -68,214 |
24 | Cyprus | EU | No | H | V | 28.1 | 24.0 | -4.1 | 1,102,677 | -453 |
25 | Vanuatu | AO | No | M | V | 5.5 | 1.4 | -4.1 | 221,552 | -91 |
26 | Luxembourg | EU | Yes | H | T | 29.2 | 25.3 | -3.9 | 497,538 | -193 |
27 | New Zealand | AO | Yes | H | V | 25.4 | 22.0 | -3.4 | 4,252,277 | -1,436 |
28 | Gabon | AF | No | M | V | 6.2 | 2.9 | -3.3 | 1,545,255 | -509 |
29 | Syria | ME | No | M | T | 8.2 | 5.0 | -3.2 | 22,198,110 | -7,090 |
30 | Nepal | AS | No | L | V | 5.1 | 2.1 | -3.0 | 28,951,852 | -8,570 |
31 | Kuwait | ME | No | H | V | 20.9 | 18.0 | -2.9 | 2,789,132 | -822 |
32 | India | AS | No | M | T | 8.5 | 6.0 | -2.5 | 1,180,512,215 | -294,800 |
33 | Djibouti | AF | No | M | T | 4.1 | 1.8 | -2.3 | 740,528 | -174 |
34 | Ghana | AF | No | L | V | 3.8 | 1.5 | -2.3 | 24,339,838 | -5,699 |
35 | Mauritania | AF | No | L | T | 3.4 | 1.1 | -2.3 | 3,205,060 | -743 |
36 | Eritrea | AF | No | L | T | 2.6 | 0.5 | -2.1 | 5,792,984 | -1,195 |
37 | Senegal | AF | No | L | T | 2.5 | 0.6 | -1.9 | 14,086,103 | -2,691 |
38 | Comoros | AF | No | L | V | 3.4 | 1.5 | -1.9 | 773,407 | -143 |
39 | Togo | AF | No | L | V | 2.0 | 0.4 | -1.6 | 6,199,841 | -977 |
40 | Macedonia | EU | No | M | V | 25.6 | 24.1 | -1.5 | 2,072,086 | -320 |
41 | Finland | EU | Yes | H | V | 30.5 | 29.0 | -1.5 | 5,255,068 | -796 |
42 | Namibia | AF | No | M | T | 4.4 | 3.0 | -1.4 | 2,128,471 | -297 |
43 | Nauru | AO | No | M | V | 9.1 | 7.7 | -1.4 | 14,264 | -2 |
44 | Timor-Leste | AS | No | M | T | 2.1 | 1.0 | -1.1 | 1,131,612 | -129 |
45 | Benin | AF | No | L | V | 1.4 | 0.4 | -1.0 | 9,056,010 | -944 |
46 | Sudan | AF | No | M | V | 3.6 | 2.6 | -1.0 | 41,980,182 | -4,240 |
47 | Australia | AO | Yes | H | T | 28.5 | 27.5 | -1.0 | 21,515,754 | -2,165 |
48 | Rwanda | AF | No | L | V | 1.4 | 0.5 | -0.9 | 11,055,976 | -954 |
49 | Germany | EU | Yes | H | V | 35.0 | 34.2 | -0.8 | 82,282,988 | -6,898 |
50 | Maldives | AS | No | M | V | 10.0 | 9.2 | -0.8 | 395,650 | -31 |
51 | Côte d'Ivoire | AF | No | L | T | 2.0 | 1.2 | -0.8 | 21,058,798 | -1,639 |
52 | Libya | AF | No | M | V | 13.2 | 12.5 | -0.7 | 6,461,454 | -480 |
53 | Cape Verde | AF | No | M | T | 5.6 | 4.9 | -0.7 | 431,822 | -31 |
54 | Mozambique | AF | No | L | T | 1.0 | 0.3 | -0.7 | 22,061,451 | -1,531 |
55 | Laos | AS | No | L | T | 4.2 | 3.5 | -0.7 | 6,993,767 | -477 |
56 | Hungary | EU | Yes | H | T | 31.2 | 30.5 | -0.7 | 9,880,059 | -645 |
57 | Guinea | AF | No | L | V | 1.7 | 1.1 | -0.6 | 10,324,025 | -665 |
58 | Central African Rep. | AF | No | L | T | 1.3 | 0.8 | -0.5 | 4,578,768 | -231 |
59 | United States | NA | Yes | H | T | 24.6 | 24.1 | -0.5 | 310,232,863 | -14,835 |
60 | Turkey | ME | Yes | M | V | 15.0 | 14.6 | -0.5 | 77,804,122 | -3,674 |
61 | Sierra Leone | AF | No | L | T | 0.7 | 0.3 | -0.4 | 5,245,695 | -224 |
62 | Burundi | AF | No | L | T | 0.7 | 0.3 | -0.4 | 9,863,117 | -406 |
63 | Botswana | AF | No | M | V | 4.4 | 4.0 | -0.4 | 2,029,307 | -74 |
64 | Latvia | EU | No | M | T | 31.7 | 31.3 | -0.3 | 2,217,969 | -74 |
65 | Cameroon | AF | No | M | T | 2.2 | 1.9 | -0.3 | 19,294,149 | -626 |
66 | Zimbabwe | AF | No | L | V | 1.9 | 1.6 | -0.3 | 11,651,858 | -307 |
67 | Congo (Brazzaville) | AF | No | M | V | 2.2 | 2.0 | -0.2 | 4,125,916 | -71 |
68 | Chad | AF | No | L | T | 0.5 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 10,543,464 | -105 |
69 | Malawi | AF | No | L | T | 0.3 | 0.2 | -0.1 | 15,447,500 | -150 |
70 | Burkina Faso | AF | No | L | T | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 16,241,811 | -80 |
71 | Ukraine | EU | No | M | T | 30.3 | 30.3 | 0.0 | 45,415,596 | -47 |
72 | Liberia | AF | No | L | T | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 3,441,790 | 30 |
73 | Niger | AF | No | L | V | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 15,306,252 | 170 |
74 | Spain | EU | Yes | H | V | 35.5 | 35.9 | 0.4 | 40,548,753 | 1,583 |
75 | Angola | AF | No | M | V | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 13,068,161 | 704 |
76 | Slovakia | EU | Yes | H | V | 30.1 | 30.6 | 0.5 | 5,470,306 | 300 |
77 | Mali | AF | No | L | T | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 13,796,354 | 844 |
78 | Uganda | AF | No | L | V | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 33,398,682 | 2,044 |
79 | Congo (Kinshasa) | AF | No | L | T | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 70,916,439 | 5,561 |
80 | South Africa | AF | No | M | T | 6.8 | 7.7 | 0.9 | 49,109,107 | 4,373 |
81 | Zambia | AF | No | L | V | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 12,056,923 | 1,110 |
82 | Guinea-Bissau | AF | No | L | T | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1,565,126 | 151 |
83 | Andorra | EU | No | H | V | 35.6 | 36.6 | 1.0 | 84,525 | 8 |
84 | Madagascar | AF | No | L | T | 1.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 21,281,844 | 2,270 |
85 | Pakistan | ME | No | L | V | 6.4 | 7.7 | 1.3 | 177,276,594 | 22,940 |
86 | Sao Tome & Principe | AF | No | L | V | 3.3 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 219,334 | 36 |
87 | Yemen | ME | No | L | V | 1.7 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 23,495,361 | 3,871 |
88 | Equatorial Guinea | AF | No | H | T | 1.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 650,702 | 108 |
89 | Czech Republic | EU | Yes | H | T | 33.8 | 35.5 | 1.7 | 10,201,707 | 1,726 |
90 | Afghanistan | ME | No | L | V | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 29,121,286 | 5,274 |
91 | Estonia | EU | No | H | T | 30.9 | 32.8 | 1.9 | 1,291,170 | 249 |
92 | Portugal | EU | Yes | H | V | 31.6 | 33.5 | 1.9 | 10,735,765 | 2,081 |
93 | Cook Islands | AO | No | H | T | 9.8 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 23,000 | 5 |
94 | Qatar | ME | No | H | V | 24.2 | 26.4 | 2.2 | 840,926 | 186 |
95 | Moldova | EU | No | M | V | 23.9 | 26.5 | 2.6 | 4,320,748 | 1,137 |
96 | Ireland | EU | Yes | H | V | 25.0 | 28.2 | 3.1 | 4,250,163 | 1,331 |
97 | Italy | EU | Yes | H | T | 35.7 | 39.0 | 3.3 | 58,090,681 | 19,097 |
98 | Austria | EU | Yes | H | V | 32.1 | 35.5 | 3.4 | 8,214,160 | 2,762 |
99 | Bulgaria | EU | No | M | T | 32.3 | 35.8 | 3.4 | 7,148,785 | 2,436 |
100 | Denmark | EU | Yes | H | T | 27.4 | 30.8 | 3.4 | 5,515,575 | 1,897 |
101 | Iraq | ME | No | M | V | 2.9 | 6.6 | 3.7 | 29,671,605 | 11,054 |
102 | Sweden | EU | Yes | H | T | 31.2 | 35.0 | 3.8 | 9,059,651 | 3,465 |
103 | Oman | ME | No | H | T | 11.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 3,525,875 | 1,398 |
104 | Mexico | NA | Yes | M | V | 13.7 | 17.9 | 4.2 | 112,468,855 | 47,141 |
105 | Saudi Arabia | ME | No | H | V | 9.4 | 13.7 | 4.3 | 29,207,277 | 12,531 |
106 | France | EU | Yes | H | V | 29.5 | 33.9 | 4.4 | 64,768,389 | 28,812 |
107 | Malta | EU | No | H | T | 30.4 | 35.6 | 5.2 | 406,771 | 212 |
108 | Switzerland | EU | Yes | H | V | 32.7 | 38.0 | 5.3 | 7,623,438 | 4,026 |
109 | Netherlands | EU | Yes | H | V | 29.3 | 37.1 | 7.8 | 16,783,092 | 13,090 |
110 | Norway | EU | Yes | H | T | 28.1 | 36.4 | 8.3 | 4,676,305 | 3,892 |
111 | Lebanon | ME | No | M | T | 14.5 | 23.6 | 9.1 | 4,060,766 | 3,689 |
112 | Bahrain | ME | No | H | T | 17.8 | 27.1 | 9.3 | 738,004 | 686 |
113 | Belgium | EU | Yes | H | T | 30.4 | 40.1 | 9.7 | 10,423,493 | 10,124 |
114 | Lithuania | EU | No | M | T | 29.1 | 39.6 | 10.5 | 3,545,319 | 3,725 |
115 | Niue | AO | No | M | V | 9.5 | 20.0 | 10.5 | 1,398 | 1 |
116 | Iceland | EU | Yes | H | V | 24.5 | 36.7 | 12.2 | 308,910 | 377 |
117 | Kyrgyzstan | ME | No | L | V | 11.4 | 24.4 | 13.0 | 5,508,626 | 7,183 |
118 | Armenia | EU | No | M | V | 22.9 | 36.1 | 13.3 | 2,966,802 | 3,933 |
119 | Russia | EU | No | M | V | 28.5 | 42.7 | 14.2 | 139,390,205 | 197,550 |
120 | Jordan | ME | No | M | T | 7.3 | 22.0 | 14.7 | 6,407,085 | 9,391 |
121 | Egypt | AF | No | M | T | 9.6 | 24.3 | 14.7 | 80,471,869 | 118,113 |
122 | Tajikistan | ME | No | L | V | 4.8 | 20.3 | 15.5 | 7,487,489 | 11,635 |
123 | Greece | EU | Yes | H | V | 35.1 | 50.8 | 15.7 | 10,749,943 | 16,836 |
124 | Turkmenistan | ME | No | M | T | 9.9 | 25.7 | 15.8 | 4,940,916 | 7,783 |
125 | Uzbekistan | ME | No | L | V | 10.2 | 26.7 | 16.5 | 27,865,738 | 45,950 |
126 | Belarus | EU | No | M | V | 29.5 | 46.9 | 17.4 | 9,612,632 | 16,757 |
127 | Georgia | EU | No | M | T | 26.5 | 44.9 | 18.3 | 4,600,825 | 8,442 |
128 | Azerbaijan | EU | No | M | V | 17.2 | 36.0 | 18.8 | 8,303,512 | 15,637 |
129 | Israel | ME | No | H | V | 17.3 | 37.4 | 20.1 | 7,353,985 | 14,787 |
130 | Kazakhstan | AS | No | M | V | 16.7 | 37.3 | 20.7 | 15,460,484 | 31,933 |