Base model and lag | With anticipatory behaviour and lag | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
all age | all age | |||||||
Variable | Age ≤ 33 | 34 ≤ Age ≥ 39 | Age ≥ 40 | groups | Age ≤ 33 | 34 ≤ Age ≥ 39 | Age ≥ 40 | groups |
EMSNCap effect | -14.44 | -8.04 | 19.87*** | -5.30 | 2.16 | -4.36 | 17.49 | 0.37 |
24.76 | 8.24 | 7.10 | 9.20 | 25.65 | 8.99 | 9.13 | 9.39 | |
Lag of D. Variable | 0.99*** | 0.90*** | 0.25 | 0.98*** | 0.99*** | 0.89*** | 0.27 | 0.97*** |
0.04 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.19 | 0.023 | |
Season 1 (base) | ||||||||
Season 2 | 57.51** | -19.46* | -8.81 | -3.79 | 44.76 | -23.11*** | -8.61 | -8.46 |
19.11 | 7.28 | 8.48 | 7.96 | 21.82 | 7.64 | 8.56 | 8.07 | |
Season 3 | 22.82 | -30.52*** | -20.25* | -21.89** | 14.83 | -32.58*** | -20.43** | -24.77** |
19.56 | 7.17 | 8.01 | 7.48 | 20.40 | 7.61 | 8.62 | 7.50 | |
Season 4 | -49.43** | -71.08*** | -40.98*** | -63.29*** | -61.90** | -74.04*** | -40.29*** | -67.68*** |
17.29 | 7.54 | 6.45 | 7.05 | 18.38 | 7.82 | 7.13 | 7.13 | |
Time Trend | 0.90 | 0.45 | 0.88 | 0.38 | -0.61 | 0.09 | 1.01 | -0.14 |
2.40 | 0.10 | 0.83 | 0.93 | 2.38 | 0.96 | 0.89 | 0.95 | |
Constant | -10.06 | 52.81** | 95.94*** | 25.99* | 7.82 | 58.33** | 92.27*** | 32.29** |
27.85 | 17.29 | 9.93 | 10.17 | 29.77 | 17.61 | 16.82 | 10.53 | |
N | 32 | 48 | 32 | 112 | 32 | 48 | 32 | 112 |
df | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
R squared | 0.96 | 0.89 | 0.85 | 0.97 | 0.96 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.97 |