Base model and lag | With anticipatory behaviour and lag | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
all age | all age | |||||||
Variable | Age ≤ 33 | 34 ≤ Age ≥ 39 | Age ≥ 40 | groups | Age ≤ 33 | 34 ≤ Age ≥ 39 | Age ≥ 40 | groups |
EMSNCap effect | -73.96 | -46.79* | -36.78 | -53.04* | -41.59 | -56.59*** | 41.87 | -27.31 |
40.07 | 17.34 | 22.78 | 20.93 | 36.48 | 19.98 | 24.30 | 23.57 | |
Lag of D. Variable | 0.97*** | 0.63*** | 0.51* | 0.91*** | 0.97*** | 0.58*** | 0.24 | 0.90*** |
0.07 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.06 | |
Season 1 (base) | ||||||||
Season 2 | 79.51* | -58.75** | -86.95** | -47.08* | 45.19 | -48.91* | -95.54** | -72.65*** |
29.84 | 21.50 | 25.75 | 18.15 | 32.44 | 22.89 | 29.12 | 20.39 | |
Season 3 | 131.32** | -34.06 | -89.68*** | -15.67 | 111.08** | -28.14 | -94.70*** | -30.90 |
39.86 | 18.09 | 19.54 | 20.04 | 38.79 | 18.89 | 25.15 | 21.07 | |
Season 4 | 33.76 | -92.77*** | -139.64*** | -81.78*** | 5.10 | -84.06*** | -166.53*** | -103.17*** |
31.91 | 19.69 | 20.56 | 18.83 | 29.80 | 20.61 | 24.60 | 19.33 | |
Time Trend | 6.72 | 5.96* | 9.12*** | 5.33* | 3.50 | 7.22 | 5.12* | 2.94 |
3.62 | 2.47 | 2.22 | 2.11 | 3.09 | 2.66 | 2.06 | 2.08 | |
Constant | -73.39*** | 249.38*** | 236.99*** | 61.64*** | -35.46*** | 268.82*** | 387.39*** | 99.02** |
55.99 | 57.48 | 66.35 | 31.99 | 49.41 | 62.74 | 59.05 | 35.34 | |
N | 32 | 48 | 32 | 112 | 32 | 48 | 32 | 112 |
df | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
R squared | 0.92 | 0.71 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.92 | 0.67 | 0.86 | 0.83 |