Base model and lag | With anticipatory behaviour and lag | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
all age | all age | |||||||
Variable | Age ≤ 33 | 34 ≤ Age ≥ 39 | Age ≥ 40 | groups | Age ≤ 33 | 34 ≤ Age ≥ 39 | Age ≥ 40 | groups |
EMSNCap effect | -90.14 | -50.24* | -35.17 | -59.55* | -38.81 | -58.57* | 55.71 | -26.62 |
45.76 | 20.56 | 25.85 | 24.07 | 45.34 | 22.29 | 28.44 | 26.25 | |
Lag of D. Variable | 0.97*** | 0.62*** | 0.54* | 0.92*** | 0.97*** | 0.59*** | 0.18 | 0.92*** |
0.07 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.05 | |
Season 1 (base) | ||||||||
Season 2 | 79.41* | -81.01** | -108.96*** | -69.09** | 24.84 | -72.15* | -99.61** | -102.30*** |
37.06 | 28.25 | 28.95 | 21.47 | 41.84 | 28.55 | 33.33 | 23.52 | |
Season 3 | 142.93** | -48.96* | -114.18*** | -30.31 | 110.68* | -43.48 | -105.86** | -50.03* |
48.55 | 23.59 | 22.17 | 23.94 | 49.01 | 23.81 | 28.91 | 24.67 | |
Season 4 | -13.55 | -133.59*** | -175.47*** | -127.38*** | -58.60 | -125.68*** | -193.05*** | -155.11*** |
37.56 | 25.04 | 22.98 | 21.83 | 37.75 | 25.33 | 27.67 | 22.09 | |
Time Trend | 7.94 | 7.03*** | 10.11*** | 6.05* | 2.90 | 8.07* | 6.77* | 2.92 |
4.18 | 3.09 | 2.58 | 2.45 | 3.79 | 3.16 | 2.34 | 2.38 | |
Constant | -68.45*** | 308.07*** | 273.69** | 83.05* | -4.29 | 320.05*** | 466.51*** | 127.48*** |
65.82 | 71.06 | 78.96 | 34.55 | 59.81 | 72.13 | 69.14 | 37.82 | |
N | 32 | 48 | 32 | 112 | 32 | 48 | 32 | 112 |
df | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
R squared | 0.92 | 0.71 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.92 | 0.69 | 0.88 | 0.85 |