Base model and lag | With anticipatory behaviour and lag | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
all age | all age | |||||||
Variable | Age ≤ 33 | 34 ≤ Age ≥ 39 | Age ≥ 40 | groups | Age ≤ 33 | 34 ≤ Age ≥ 39 | Age ≥ 40 | groups |
EMSNCap effect | -259.55 | -342.52*** | -330.17*** | -232.62*** | -155.83* | -201.41*** | -291.93*** | -141.46** |
126.39 | 51.06 | 44.67 | 62.61 | 74.49 | 33.61 | 52.81 | 42.22 | |
Lag of D. Variable | 0.90*** | 0.33** | -0.10 | 0.77*** | 0.96*** | 0.60*** | -0.04 | 0.86*** |
0.12 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 0.06 | |
Season 1 (base) | ||||||||
Season 2 | 310.06** | 113.54** | -34.50 | 104.95* | 216.99*** | 62.26* | -51.00 | 34.32 |
85.99 | 33.07 | 29.51 | 40.93 | 47.91 | 25.00 | 36.27 | 31.38 | |
Season 3 | 325.46** | 127.08*** | -98.78** | 90.78* | 267.69*** | 80.25** | -112.13** | 44.48 |
88.17 | 31.28 | 28.66 | 43.82 | 59.22 | 23.80 | 33.19 | 35.47 | |
Season 4 | 67.44 | -14.72 | -212.63*** | -68.20 | -23.64 | -102.07*** | -230.53*** | -138.63*** |
81.04 | 35.35 | 31.35 | 37.99 | 44.52 | 25.59 | 33.83 | 28.61 | |
Time Trend | 23.26* | 30.18*** | 42.17*** | 20.51*** | 12.70 | 16.29*** | 38.20*** | 11.13** |
10.66 | 4.53 | 5.69 | 5.67 | 7.32 | 3.29 | 6.76 | 4.01 | |
Constant | -185.66*** | 561.15*** | 917.83*** | 123.85 | -130.18*** | 378.40*** | 896.18*** | 127.05*** |
112.46 | 105.92 | 100.94 | 98.47 | 93.02 | 71.92 | 110.12 | 69.31 | |
N | 32 | 48 | 32 | 112 | 32 | 48 | 32 | 112 |
df | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
R squared | 0.87 | 0.78 | 0.88 | 0.73 | 0.94 | 0.85 | 0.87 | 0.82 |