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Table 10 Savings in Medicare benefits, and the number of ART children not born in 2010 as a result of the EMSNCap policy

From: A reduction in public funding for fertility treatment - an econometric analysis of access to treatment and savings to government

  

Without adjustment for anticipatory behaviour

With adjustment for anticipatory behaviour

 

Average

    
 

Medicare

    
 

benefit

 

Total

 

Total

Fresh Cycles

per cycle

Cycles

savings

Cycles

savings

Predicted benefits and reduction in cycles - without policy:

$6199

5451

$33,790,749

4017

$24,901,383

Observed benefits and number of cycles - with policy:

$5108

31,504

  

$32,341

Savings due to policy

($1091)

31,504

$34,366,787

32,341

$35,279,845

Total savings Fresh Cycles

  

$68,157,536

 

$60,181,228

Live-birth rate per Fresh Cycle

 

21%

 

21%

 

ART live-births not born due to policy

 

1145

 

844

 

ART Multiple-birth rate

 

10.2%

 

10.2%

 

ART infants not born due to policy

 

1261

 

930

 

Frozen Cycles *

Predicted Avr benefits and reduction in cycles without policy:

$1638

1409

$2,307,942

1,409

$2,307,942

Actual benefits and number of cycles with policy:

$1348

21,276

 

21,276

 

Savings due to policy

($290)

21,276

$6,171,063

21,276

$6,171,065

Total savings Frozen Cycles

  

$8,479,005

 

$8,479,005

Live-birth rate per Frozen Cycle

 

18%

 

18%

 

ART live-births not born due to policy

 

254

 

254

 

Multiple-birth rate

 

10.2%

 

10.2%

 

ART infants not born due to policy

 

279

 

279

 

IUI Cycles * +

Predicted Avr benefits and reduction in cycles without policy:

$1270

    

Observed benefits and number of cycles with policy:

$549

10,504

 

10,504

 

Savings due to policy

($721)

10,504

$7,571,632

10,504

$7,571,632

Total savings IUI Cycles

  

$7,571,632

 

$7,571,632

Total Savings in Medicare benefits

  

$84,208,172

 

$76,231,865

Total ART infants not born due to policy

  

1540

 

1209

  1. All dollar figures in constant 2010 Australian dollars. * Anticipatory behaviour was not observed for Frozen and IUI Cycles. + IUI cycles were not affected by the EMSNCap policy.