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Table 10 Savings in Medicare benefits, and the number of ART children not born in 2010 as a result of the EMSNCap policy

From: A reduction in public funding for fertility treatment - an econometric analysis of access to treatment and savings to government

   Without adjustment for anticipatory behaviour With adjustment for anticipatory behaviour
  Average     
  Medicare     
  benefit   Total   Total
Fresh Cycles per cycle Cycles savings Cycles savings
Predicted benefits and reduction in cycles - without policy: $6199 5451 $33,790,749 4017 $24,901,383
Observed benefits and number of cycles - with policy: $5108 31,504    $32,341
Savings due to policy ($1091) 31,504 $34,366,787 32,341 $35,279,845
Total savings Fresh Cycles    $68,157,536   $60,181,228
Live-birth rate per Fresh Cycle   21%   21%  
ART live-births not born due to policy   1145   844  
ART Multiple-birth rate   10.2%   10.2%  
ART infants not born due to policy   1261   930  
Frozen Cycles *
Predicted Avr benefits and reduction in cycles without policy: $1638 1409 $2,307,942 1,409 $2,307,942
Actual benefits and number of cycles with policy: $1348 21,276   21,276  
Savings due to policy ($290) 21,276 $6,171,063 21,276 $6,171,065
Total savings Frozen Cycles    $8,479,005   $8,479,005
Live-birth rate per Frozen Cycle   18%   18%  
ART live-births not born due to policy   254   254  
Multiple-birth rate   10.2%   10.2%  
ART infants not born due to policy   279   279  
IUI Cycles * +
Predicted Avr benefits and reduction in cycles without policy: $1270     
Observed benefits and number of cycles with policy: $549 10,504   10,504  
Savings due to policy ($721) 10,504 $7,571,632 10,504 $7,571,632
Total savings IUI Cycles    $7,571,632   $7,571,632
Total Savings in Medicare benefits    $84,208,172   $76,231,865
Total ART infants not born due to policy    1540   1209
  1. All dollar figures in constant 2010 Australian dollars. * Anticipatory behaviour was not observed for Frozen and IUI Cycles. + IUI cycles were not affected by the EMSNCap policy.