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Table 2 Determinants of generics use (logistic regression)

From: Determinants of generic drug substitution in Switzerland

 

Model A Cantons and patients variables

Model B Model A + substitution groups dummies

Model C Model A + substitution groups variables

 

Coeff. [95%CI]

Coeff. [95%CI]

Coeff. [95%CI]

CANTON:

   

   Aargau (reference)

   

   Vaud

-0.253 [-0.31,-0.20]

-0.247 [-0.31,-0.19]

-0.248 [-0.31,-0.19]

   Ticino

-1.391 [-1.46,-1.32]

-1.459 [-1.53,-1.39]

-1.463 [-1.53,-1.39]

PATIENTS' VARIABLES Female

0.023 [0.00,0.05]

0.031 [0.01,0.06]

0.017 [-0.01,0.04]

Age:

   

   0-19

0.340 [0.24,0.44]

0.238 [0.12,0.36]

0.207 [0.09,0.32]

   20-39

0.291 [0.22,0.36]

0.101 [0.02,0.18]

0.127 [0.05,0.21]

   40-59

0.237 [0.18,0.30]

0.158 [0.09,0.22]

0.164 [0.10,0.23]

   60-79 (reference)

   

   80+

-0.135 [-0.21,-0.06]

-0.018 [-0.10,0.06]

-0.041 [-0.12,0.04]

Age 0-19 in Vaud

0.199 [0.12,0.28]

-0.004 [-0.10,0.09]

0.086 [-0.00,0.18]

Age 20-39 in Vaud

0.026 [-0.05,0.10]

0.055 [-0.02,0.14]

0.051 [-0.03,0.13]

Age 40-59 in Vaud

-0.058 [-0.12,0.01]

-0.051 [-0.12,0.02]

-0.046 [-0.11,0.02]

Age 80+ in Vaud

0.185 [0.10,0.27]

0.194 [0.10,0.29]

0.211 [0.12,0.30]

Age 0-19 in Ticino

-0.437 [-0.58,-0.30]

-0.548 [-0.70,-0.40]

-0.484 [-0.63,-0.34]

Age 20-39 in Ticino

-0.160 [-0.26,-0.06]

-0.176 [-0.28,-0.07]

-0.168 [-0.27,-0.07]

Age 40-59 in Ticino

-0.208 [-0.29,-0.13]

-0.192 [-0.28,-0.11]

-0.189 [-0.27,-0.10]

Age 80+ in Ticino

0.095 [-0.01,0.20]

0.075 [-0.03,0.18]

0.098 [-0.01,0.20]

Optional health insurance deductible

0.065 [0.04,0.09]

0.039 [0.01,0.07]

0.043 [0.02,0.07]

Out-of-pocket participation

0.233 [0.18,0.28]

0.146 [0.09,0.20]

0.178 [0.12,0.23]

Out-of-pocket participation at age 0-19

0.084 [-0.02,0.19]

0.069 [-0.04,0.18]

0.043 [-0.07,0.15]

Out-of-pocket participation at age 20-39

0.205 [0.13,0.28]

0.165 [0.08,0.25]

0.139 [0.06,0.22]

Out-of-pocket participation at age 40-59

0.052 [-0.01,0.11]

-0.020 [-0.09,0.05]

-0.025 [-0.09,0.04]

Out-of-pocket participation at age 80+

-0.161 [-0.24,-0.09]

-0.150 [-0.23,-0.07]

-0.136 [-0.22,-0.05]

Out-of-pocket participation in Vaud

-0.062 [-0.12,-0.01]

-0.066 [-0.12,-0.01]

-0.067 [-0.12,-0.01]

Out-of-pocket participation in Ticino

-0.107 [-0.18,-0.04]

-0.097 [-0.17,-0.02]

-0.116 [-0.19,-0.04]

Treatment complexity:

   

   1-5 drugs

0.112 [0.08,0.14]

0.096 [0.06,0.13]

0.082 [0.05,0.11]

   6-10 drugs (reference)

   

   11-15 drugs

-0.063 [-0.09,-0.03]

-0.055 [-0.09,-0.02]

-0.055 [-0.09,-0.02]

   16-20 drugs

-0.089 [-0.13,-0.05]

-0.101 [-0.14,-0.06]

-0.102 [-0.14,-0.06]

   21+ drugs

-0.186 [-0.23,-0.14]

-0.175 [-0.22,-0.13]

-0.174 [-0.22,-0.13]

PHYSICIANS' VARIABLES Specialist prescriber

-0.245 [-0.27,-0.22]

-0.203 [-0.23,-0.17]

-0.194 [-0.22,-0.16]

Hospital prescriber in Aargau

-0.871 [-0.93,-0.81]

-1.125 [-1.19,-1.06]

-1.101 [-1.17,-1.04]

Hospital prescriber in Vaud

-0.344 [-0.40,-0.29]

-0.559 [-0.62,-0.50]

-0.571 [-0.63,-0.51]

Hospital prescriber in Ticino

-0.737 [-0.84,-0.63]

-0.778 [-0.89,-0.67]

-0.756 [-0.86,-0.65]

SUBSTITUTION GROUPS' VARIABLES Number of generics:

   

   1-2 (reference)

   

   3-4

  

0.506 [0.46,0.55]

   5-6

  

0.745 [0.70,0.79]

   7+

  

0.522 [0.46,0.58]

Number of treated patients:

   

   1-1000 (reference)

   

   1001-2000

  

0.109 [0.07,0.15]

   2001-3000

  

0.412 [0.35,0.47]

   3001+

  

0.013 [-0.03,0.06]

Price of brand medication:

   

   1st quintile

  

0.181 [0.13,0.23]

   2nd quintile

  

-0.006 [-0.07,0.05]

   3rd quintile (reference)

   

   4th quintile

  

0.072 [0.03,0.12]

   5th quintile

  

-0.064 [-0.12,-0.01]

Relative price difference:

   

   1st quintile

  

-0.303 [-0.35,-0.25]

   2nd quintile

  

-0.167 [-0.21,-0.12]

   3rd quintile (reference)

   

   4th quintile

  

0.026 [-0.02,0.07]

   5th quintile

  

0.219 [0.16,0.28]

Administration mode: Oral (reference)

   

   Topic

  

-0.644 [-0.71,-0.57]

   Inhalation, nasal & ophthalmic

  

-1.329 [-2.05,-0.61]

   Parenteral, rectal & vaginal

  

-0.676 [-0.76,-0.59]

Original with special galenic form

  

-0.476 [-0.55,-0.41]

At least one drug sold under license

  

-0.309 [-0.36,-0.26]

Multiple package sizes

  

-0.233 [-0.27,-0.19]

Constant

-0.554 [-0.60,-0.50]

0.717 [0.64,0.80]

-0.289 [-0.38,-0.20]

Substitution groups dummies

No

Yes

No

3 char. ATC codes dummies

No

No

Yes

Pseudo-R-squared

0.089

0.229

0.194

AIC

196,349

166,597

173,677

BIC

196,671

169,867

174,542

Area under ROC curve

0.699

0.811

0.791

Hosmer-Lemeshow chi2

4.295

101.676

139.595

Prob > chi2

0.830

0.000

0.000

Observations

173,212

173,212

173,212