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Table 1 Regression Estimates and Scoring of Predictive Risk Factors: Original Model and Bootstrapping Validation Model

From: Use of an electronic administrative database to identify older community dwelling adults at high-risk for hospitalization or emergency department visits: The elders risk assessment index

 

Original Model

Validation Model1

 

Regression Estimate

Standard Error

P-value

Score

Regression Estimate

Standard Error

Score

Married

-0.12

0.03

<. 01

-1

-0.12

0.04

-1

Age 70-79

0.11

0.04

<. 01

1

0.11

0.03

1

Age 80-89

0.31

0.04

<. 01

3

0.31

0.05

3

Age 90 or more

0.67

0.08

<. 01

7

0.67

0.10

7

1-5 hosp days in 2003 or 2004

0.55

0.04

<. 01

5

0.54

0.05

5

6 or more hosp days in 2003 or 2004

1.10

0.05

<. 01

11

1.10

0.07

11

History of Diabetes

0.17

0.04

<. 01

2

0.17

0.04

2

History of CAD/MI/CHF

0.31

0.04

<. 01

3

0.31

0.04

3

History of Stroke

0.23

0.05

<. 01

2

0.23

0.06

2

History of COPD

0.47

0.05

<. 01

5

0.48

0.07

5

History of Cancer

0.10

0.04

<. 01

1

0.10

0.04

1

History of Dementia

0.31

0.05

<. 01

3

0.31

0.06

3

  1. 1Estimate of each predictor is the mean of the regression coefficients of each predictor from 450 samples. Reported standard error is the standard error of the mean estimates.